Aurora Mobile Stock Analysis

JG Stock  USD 2.92  0.18  5.81%   
Aurora Mobile is overvalued with Real Value of 1.87 and Target Price of 1.16. The main objective of Aurora Mobile stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Aurora Mobile is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Aurora Mobile's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Aurora Mobile's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Aurora Mobile's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Aurora Mobile stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Aurora Mobile is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Aurora Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Aurora Mobile's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aurora Mobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.

Aurora Stock Analysis Notes

The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aurora Mobile recorded a loss per share of 1.44. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 11th of December 2023. Aurora Mobile Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a mobile app developer service provider in China. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the Peoples Republic of China. Aurora Mobile operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 541 people. To learn more about Aurora Mobile call the company at 86 755 8388 1462 or check out https://www.jiguang.cn.

Aurora Mobile Quarterly Total Revenue

77.41 Million

Aurora Mobile Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Aurora Mobile's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Aurora Mobile or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Aurora Mobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aurora Mobile has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aurora Mobile has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reports 5 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Aurora Mobile has a current ratio of 0.78, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Aurora Mobile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aurora Mobile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aurora Mobile sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aurora to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aurora Mobile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity generated the yearly revenue of 290.23 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (62.1 M) with gross profit of 225.76 M.
Aurora Mobile reports about 111.84 M in cash with (17.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94.
Aurora Mobile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: GPTBots.AI Unveils Asias First On-premise AI Bot Platform

Aurora Mobile Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aurora Mobile to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aurora Mobile previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Aurora Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aurora Mobile's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-11-23
2022-09-30-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2022-06-09
2022-03-31-0.33-0.220.1133 
2021-11-23
2021-09-30-0.08-0.22-0.14175 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aurora Mobile Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aurora Mobile stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Business Services Idea
Business Services
USA Equities from Business Services industry as classified by Fama & French

Aurora Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aurora Mobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Mobile backward and forwards among themselves. Aurora Mobile's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aurora Mobile's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Virtu Financial Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-09-30
0.0
Hrt Financial Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Fosun International Ltd2023-12-31
434.4 K
Rhumbline Advisers2023-12-31
1.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
K
Larson Financial Group, Llc2023-12-31
911
Emfo, Llc2023-12-31
350
Farmers And Merchants Trust Company Of Chambersburg2023-12-31
200
Cutler Group Lp2023-12-31
10.0
Note, although Aurora Mobile's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aurora Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 17.48 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Aurora Mobile's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Aurora Mobile's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Aurora Profitablity

Aurora Mobile's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Aurora Mobile's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Aurora Mobile is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Aurora Mobile's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Aurora Mobile's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Aurora Mobile's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (0.21) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of (0.1) %, which signifies that for every 100 dollars of sales, it has a net operating loss of $0.1.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.37)(0.39)
Return On Capital Employed(0.88)(0.93)
Return On Assets(0.23)(0.24)
Return On Equity(0.97)(0.92)

Management Efficiency

Aurora Mobile has Return on Asset (ROA) of (0.0812) % which means that for every 100 dollars spent on asset, it generated a loss of $0.0812. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of (0.4785) %, which implies that it produced no returns to current stockholders. Aurora Mobile's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aurora Mobile manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.39. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.93. At this time, Aurora Mobile's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Aurora Mobile's current Other Assets is estimated to increase to about 4.4 M, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 3.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.97  1.35 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.57  0.54 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(90.65)(95.18)
Price Book Value Ratio 73.63  77.31 
Enterprise Value Multiple(90.65)(95.18)
Price Fair Value 73.63  77.31 
Enterprise Value11.9 B11.4 B
The analysis of Aurora Mobile's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Aurora Mobile's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Aurora Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
0.939

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of April, Aurora Mobile shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0097, mean deviation of 4.6, and Downside Deviation of 6.13. Aurora Mobile technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Aurora Mobile, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Aurora Mobile variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Aurora Mobile is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.92 per share. Please also double-check Aurora Mobile total risk alpha, which is currently at (0.59) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aurora Mobile Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Aurora Mobile middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Aurora Mobile. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Aurora Mobile Predictive Daily Indicators

Aurora Mobile intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aurora Mobile stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aurora Mobile Corporate Filings

12th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
14th of March 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
13A
20th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
7th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
6K
6th of December 2023
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
30th of November 2023
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
16th of November 2023
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Aurora Mobile Forecast Models

Aurora Mobile's time-series forecasting models are one of many Aurora Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aurora Mobile's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aurora Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aurora Mobile prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aurora shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Aurora Mobile. By using and applying Aurora Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aurora entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.30)(0.31)
Operating Profit Margin(0.36)(0.38)
Net Loss(0.30)(0.31)
Gross Profit Margin 0.62  0.34 

Current Aurora Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aurora analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aurora analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1.16Strong Buy1Odds
Aurora Mobile current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aurora analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aurora stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aurora Mobile, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aurora conference calls.
Aurora Analyst Advice Details

Aurora Stock Analysis Indicators

Aurora Mobile stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aurora Mobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aurora Mobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aurora Mobile stock analysis, traders can identify Aurora Mobile position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow116.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity73.5 M
Tax Provision-1.9 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net5.5 M
Cash114.5 M
Accounts Payable21.1 M
50 Day M A3.1318
Total Current Liabilities241.3 M
Non Current Assets Total180.6 M
Forward Price Earnings7.2886
Non Currrent Assets Other5.4 M
Stock Based Compensation11.6 M
When determining whether Aurora Mobile is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aurora Mobile's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aurora Mobile's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aurora Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aurora Mobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.
Note that the Aurora Mobile information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aurora Mobile's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Aurora Stock analysis

When running Aurora Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Is Aurora Mobile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Mobile. If investors know Aurora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurora Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.44)
Revenue Per Share
48.561
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.48)
The market value of Aurora Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurora Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurora Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurora Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurora Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurora Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurora Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurora Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.