International Business Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IBM -- USA Stock  

USD 131.25  2.51  1.88%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 17, 2019
131.25
Current Value
127.17
Downside
131.25
After-hype Price
135.33
Upside
International Business is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 2 months time horizon.

International Business Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00% 1.36% 0.00%  0.00% 6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
131.25131.250.00%
82.42% 

International Business Hype Timeline

On 17 of August International Business is traded for 131.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. International Business Machines is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 82.42%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to International Business is about 573.84%%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 573.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 131.25. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.69. International Business last dividend was issued on 2019-08-08. The entity had 2:1 split on 1999-05-27. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CGI 0.71 8 per month 1.18  0.05  1.31 (1.88)  4.48 
Accenture plc(0.72) 8 per month 1.21  0.11  1.76 (1.57)  5.88 
International Business Machines 1.65 6 per month 0.00 (0.0131)  1.44 (2.83)  8.99 
CDW Corporation 1.93 6 per month 2.13  0.10  2.94 (2.95)  11.61 
EPAM Systems(1.71) 10 per month 1.90  0.12  2.09 (3.05)  9.55 
DXC Technology Company(1.14) 8 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.51 (5.54)  34.00 
Computer Task Group Incorporat(0.08) 6 per month 1.49  0.06  2.26 (2.59)  12.50 
Digimarc Corporation(0.34) 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.21 (5.80)  16.35 
FRONTEO 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.16  0.15 (0.15)  3.69 
Gartner 2.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.72 (1.77)  20.74 

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Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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