Interactive Brokers Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IBKR -- USA Stock  

USD 49.10  1.48  2.93%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Interactive Brokers Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Interactive Brokers hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Interactive Brokers Group from the prospective of Interactive Brokers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Interactive Brokers over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Interactive Brokers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Interactive Brokers After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Interactive Brokers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 21, 2019
49.10
Current Value
49.46
After-hype Price
54.14
Upside
Interactive Brokers is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Interactive Brokers is based on 2 months time horizon.

Interactive Brokers Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.41% 1.56% 0.36%  0.06% 2 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.1049.460.73%
175.28% 

Interactive Brokers Hype Timeline

Interactive Brokers is currently traded for49.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Interactive Brokers Group is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 49.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 175.28%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.73% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Interactive Brokers is about 1153.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 49.16. The company reported previous year revenue of 1.85B. Net Income was 116M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.31B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Please also check Interactive Brokers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Interactive Brokers Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Associated Capital Group 1.12 6 per month 0.00  0.00  3.05 (2.41)  8.60 
The Goldman Sachs Group 1.10 9 per month 1.04  0.00  2.61 (1.84)  5.97 
Morgan Stanley 0.19 9 per month 1.27  0.00  1.95 (2.03)  6.70 
eBullion 0.002 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  66.67 
ETRADE Financial Corporation 0.22 9 per month 0.00  0.00  1.95 (2.50)  7.85 
Envestnet 0.86 7 per month 0.89  0.00  2.34 (2.01)  7.86 
Evercore(1.52) 9 per month 1.42  0.00  2.29 (2.09)  9.10 
FactSet Research Systems(0.91) 8 per month 1.40  0.00  2.12 (2.03)  6.75 
FS KKR Capital Corp 0.07 6 per month 0.74  0.00  1.18 (1.19)  3.41 
Greenhill Co 0.22 8 per month 0.00  0.00  3.72 (4.74)  12.93 
Please also check Interactive Brokers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
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