Humana Inc Etf Price Prediction
| HUM Etf | USD 328.33 3.50 1.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Humana Inc etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Humana shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Humana's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Humana and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Humana's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Humana Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Humana's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 9.45 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 23.17 | Wall Street Target Price 381.28 |
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Humana based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Humana price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Humana over a specific investment horizon. Using Humana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Humana Inc from the perspective of Humana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Humana using Humana's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Humana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Humana's stock price.
Humana Implied Volatility | 54.45 |
Humana's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Humana Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Humana's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Humana stock will not fluctuate a lot when Humana's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Humana. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Humana to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Humana because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Humana after-hype prediction price | USD 328.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Humana contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Humana Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.4% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Humana trading at USD 328.33, that is roughly USD 11.17 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Humana's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Humana Inc options at the current volatility level of 54.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Humana |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Humana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Humana After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Humana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Humana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Humana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Humana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Humana's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Humana's historical news coverage. Humana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 325.80 and 330.86, respectively. We have considered Humana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Humana is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Humana Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Humana Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Humana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Humana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Humana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.53 | 1.39 | 0.11 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
328.33 | 328.33 | 0.00 |
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Humana Hype Timeline
On the 20th of April Humana Inc is traded for 328.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Humana is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 56.35%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Humana is about 691.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 328.22. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Humana was currently reported as 133.05. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.64. Humana Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of June 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of August 1991. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Humana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Humana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Humana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Humana's future price movements. Getting to know how Humana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Humana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ELV | Elevance Health | 4.61 | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.09 | 1.40 | (1.43) | 4.81 | |
| CNC | Centene Corp | 0.57 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.18 | (2.51) | 9.48 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | (8.67) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.15 | (2.48) | 9.08 | |
| CVS | CVS Health Corp | 0.52 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.65 | (2.97) | 10.32 | |
| CI | Cigna Corp | 1.61 | 11 per month | 0.60 | 0.12 | 1.97 | (1.33) | 7.02 | |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare | (1.38) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.88 | (4.08) | 11.11 | |
| ALHC | Alignment Healthcare LLC | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.15 | (6.94) | 29.64 |
Humana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Humana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Humana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Humana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Humana Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Humana stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Humana Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Humana based on analysis of Humana hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Humana's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Humana's related companies. Story Coverage note for Humana
The number of cover stories for Humana depends on current market conditions and Humana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Humana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Humana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Humana Short Properties
Humana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Humana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Humana Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Humana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Humana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.3 B |
Check out Humana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
The market value of Humana Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Humana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Humana's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Humana's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Humana's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Humana's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Humana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Humana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Humana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.