Healthcare Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction
| HR Stock | USD 13.96 0.17 1.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Healthcare Realty Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Healthcare Realty shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Healthcare Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Healthcare Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Healthcare Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Healthcare Realty Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Healthcare Realty based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Healthcare stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Healthcare Realty over a specific investment horizon. Using Healthcare Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Realty Trust from the perspective of Healthcare Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Healthcare Realty. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Healthcare Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Healthcare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Healthcare Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 13.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Healthcare |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Healthcare Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Healthcare Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthcare Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthcare Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Healthcare Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Healthcare Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthcare Realty's historical news coverage. Healthcare Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.66 and 15.76, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Healthcare Realty is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthcare Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Healthcare Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Healthcare Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthcare Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthcare Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.96 | 13.71 | 0.15 |
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Healthcare Realty Hype Timeline
As of April 20, 2024 Healthcare Realty Trust is listed for 13.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Healthcare is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Healthcare Realty is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.96. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Healthcare Realty Trust recorded a loss per share of 0.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2024. The firm had 1:2 split on the 16th of December 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Healthcare Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Healthcare Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Healthcare Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthcare Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Healthcare Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthcare Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.40 | (2.72) | 7.68 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | (0.04) | 1.90 | (2.59) | 7.18 | |
| CHCT | Community Healthcare Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.13 | (2.50) | 9.62 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.19 | (3.57) | 8.41 | |
| GMRE | Global Medical REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.35 | (3.92) | 9.81 | |
| PEAK | PEAK Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.46 | 0.16 | 7.32 | (4.55) | 101.09 | |
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.04 | 1.98 | (1.72) | 10.30 | |
| WELL | Welltower | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | (0.02) | 1.57 | (1.61) | 8.97 | |
| NHI | National Health Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 1.79 | (2.30) | 10.94 |
Healthcare Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Healthcare Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Healthcare Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Healthcare Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Healthcare Realty based on analysis of Healthcare Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Healthcare Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Healthcare Realty's related companies. Story Coverage note for Healthcare Realty
The number of cover stories for Healthcare Realty depends on current market conditions and Healthcare Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthcare Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthcare Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Healthcare Realty Short Properties
Healthcare Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Healthcare Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Healthcare Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Healthcare Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.7 M |
Check out Healthcare Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Healthcare Stock analysis
When running Healthcare Realty's price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Healthcare Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthcare Realty. If investors know Healthcare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthcare Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Healthcare Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthcare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthcare Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthcare Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthcare Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthcare Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthcare Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthcare Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthcare Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.