Harley Davidson Valuation

HOG Stock  USD 37.94  0.87  2.24%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Harley Davidson retains a regular Real Value of $43.03 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $37.94. Our model calculates the value of Harley Davidson from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Return On Asset of 0.0452, return on equity of 0.23, and Current Valuation of 11.41 B as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors encourage locking in undervalued assets and disposing overvalued assets since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will come together. Key fundamental drivers impacting Harley Davidson's valuation include:
Price Book
1.6423
Enterprise Value
11.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.4229
Price Sales
0.9153
Forward PE
9.058
Undervalued
Today
37.94
Please note that Harley Davidson's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Harley Davidson is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Harley Davidson's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Harley Davidson is useful when determining the fair value of the Harley stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Harley Davidson. Since Harley Davidson is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Harley Stock. However, Harley Davidson's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  37.94 Real  43.03 Target  44.5 Hype  38.84 Naive  35.64
The real value of Harley Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Harley Davidson Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Harley Davidson's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Harley Davidson's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Harley Davidson's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
43.03
Real Value
45.03
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Harley Davidson helps investors to forecast how Harley stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Harley Davidson more accurately as focusing exclusively on Harley Davidson's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.351.521.78
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.8438.8440.84
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.430.440.44
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.5044.5049.40
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Harley Davidson's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Harley Davidson's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Harley Davidson's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Harley Davidson, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Harley Davidson Investments

(537.92 Million)

Harley Valuation Trend

Knowing Harley Davidson's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Harley Davidson's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Harley Davidson's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Harley Davidson's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Harley Market Cap

Harley Davidson is rated # 5 in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Consumer Discretionary industry is currently estimated at about 475.76 Billion. Harley Davidson claims roughly 5.26 Billion in market capitalization contributing just under 2% to stocks in Consumer Discretionary industry.
Capitalization  Revenue  Valuation  Total debt  Workforce

Harley Davidson Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Harley Davidson's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Harley Davidson value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Harley Davidson competition to find correlations between indicators driving Harley Davidson's intrinsic value. More Info.
Harley Davidson is rated # 2 in price to earning category among related companies. It is rated below average in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.04  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for Harley Davidson is roughly  23.14 . The current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to decrease to 1.53. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Harley Davidson by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Harley Davidson's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Harley Davidson's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Harley Davidson's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Harley Davidson and how it compares across the competition.

About Harley Davidson Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Harley Davidson on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harley Davidson. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Harley Davidson based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Harley Davidson's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Harley Davidson's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Harley Davidson. We calculate exposure to Harley Davidson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Harley Davidson's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.1 B1.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.15  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.27 

8 Steps to conduct Harley Davidson's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Harley Davidson's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Harley Davidson's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Harley Davidson's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Harley Davidson's revenue streams: Identify Harley Davidson's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Harley Davidson's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Harley Davidson's growth potential: Evaluate Harley Davidson's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Harley Davidson's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Harley Davidson's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
Harley Davidson's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Harley Davidson's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Harley Davidson can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Harley Davidson represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Harley, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Harley Davidson Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The Harley Davidson's current Dividends Paid is estimated to increase to about (91.5 M). The current Dividend Yield is estimated to decrease to 0.01. The Harley Davidson's current Retained Earnings Total Equity is estimated to increase to about 3.7 B, while Retained Earnings are projected to decrease to roughly 3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-96.3 M-91.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.14  0.13 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(6.80)(7.13)
There are various types of dividends Harley Davidson can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Harley shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Harley Davidson directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Harley pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Harley Davidson by the value of the dividends paid out.

Harley Davidson Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Harley Davidson does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding145.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.326
Forward Price Earnings9.058

Harley Davidson Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Harley Davidson and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Harley we look at many different elements of the entity such as Harley's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Harley Davidson's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Harley Davidson's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Harley Davidson, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Harley Davidson's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Harley Davidson's worth.
When determining whether Harley Davidson is a strong investment it is important to analyze Harley Davidson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Harley Davidson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Harley Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Harley Davidson. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Is Harley Davidson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
Dividend Share
0.66
Earnings Share
4.87
Revenue Per Share
40.993
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Harley Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harley Davidson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.