Hdfc Bank Limited Stock Price Prediction

HDB Stock  USD 55.65  1.12  2.05%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of HDFC Bank's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HDFC Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
HDFC Bank Limited stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of HDFC Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of HDFC Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HDFC Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HDFC Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HDFC Bank Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HDFC Bank's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.71
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.56
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.82
Wall Street Target Price
69.97
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of HDFC Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The HDFC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on HDFC Bank over a specific investment horizon. Using HDFC Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HDFC Bank Limited from the perspective of HDFC Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HDFC Bank using HDFC Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HDFC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HDFC Bank's stock price.

HDFC Bank Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in HDFC Bank's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HDFC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HDFC Bank stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long HDFC Bank may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HDFC Bank and may potentially protect profits, hedge HDFC Bank with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
61.2918
Short Percent
0.0003
Short Ratio
2.37
Shares Short Prior Month
7.8 M
50 Day MA
55.1226

HDFC Bank Limited Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to HDFC Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HDFC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HDFC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HDFC Bank Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HDFC Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HDFC Bank.

HDFC Bank Implied Volatility

    
  25.14  
HDFC Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HDFC Bank Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HDFC Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HDFC Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when HDFC Bank's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in HDFC Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HDFC Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HDFC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

HDFC Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 55.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HDFC contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HDFC Bank Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.57% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With HDFC Bank trading at USD 55.65, that is roughly USD 0.87 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HDFC Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HDFC Bank Limited options at the current volatility level of 25.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out HDFC Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HDFC Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0969.5171.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.2255.2857.33
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
74.0981.4290.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.700.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HDFC Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HDFC Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HDFC Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HDFC Bank Limited.

HDFC Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of HDFC Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HDFC Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HDFC Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

HDFC Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting HDFC Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HDFC Bank's historical news coverage. HDFC Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.20 and 57.30, respectively. We have considered HDFC Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.65
55.25
After-hype Price
57.30
Upside
HDFC Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HDFC Bank Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

HDFC Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HDFC Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HDFC Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HDFC Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.05
  0.40 
  0.08 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.65
55.25
0.72 
147.48  
Notes

HDFC Bank Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March HDFC Bank Limited is traded for 55.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. HDFC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 55.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 147.48%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on HDFC Bank is about 729.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.57. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of HDFC Bank was currently reported as 576.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. HDFC Bank Limited last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of September 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out HDFC Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

HDFC Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to HDFC Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HDFC Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how HDFC Bank rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HDFC Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MBCNMiddlefield Banc(2.92)7 per month 0.00 (0.22) 3.39 (5.08) 13.83 
MBINMerchants Bancorp 0.54 8 per month 2.00 (0.04) 4.04 (3.79) 12.36 
MBWMMercantile Bank 0.13 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.16 (3.10) 12.23 
MCBSMetroCity Bankshares 0.39 7 per month 2.43 (0.04) 3.87 (4.01) 9.79 
MCBCMacatawa Bank(0.57)6 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.95 (2.71) 8.03 
AXAxos Financial(0.33)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.65 (2.68) 6.99 
BYByline Bancorp(0.05)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.50 (2.22) 6.36 
RF-PCRegions Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.55  0.04  1.97 (0.91) 4.31 
RF-PERegions Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.95  0.04  1.85 (1.74) 4.69 
RF-PBRegions Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.29  0.02  1.19 (0.84) 2.72 

HDFC Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HDFC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HDFC using various technical indicators. When you analyze HDFC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About HDFC Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of HDFC Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HDFC Bank Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HDFC Bank based on analysis of HDFC Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HDFC Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HDFC Bank's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio22.2620.518.4521.81
Short Term Coverage Ratios1.050.440.390.7

Story Coverage note for HDFC Bank

The number of cover stories for HDFC Bank depends on current market conditions and HDFC Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HDFC Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HDFC Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

HDFC Bank Short Properties

HDFC Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when HDFC Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HDFC Bank Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HDFC Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HDFC Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.2 T
When determining whether HDFC Bank Limited offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HDFC Bank's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hdfc Bank Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hdfc Bank Limited Stock:
Check out HDFC Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the HDFC Bank Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other HDFC Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Complementary Tools for HDFC Stock analysis

When running HDFC Bank's price analysis, check to measure HDFC Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HDFC Bank is operating at the current time. Most of HDFC Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HDFC Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HDFC Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HDFC Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Is HDFC Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HDFC Bank. If investors know HDFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HDFC Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0)
Earnings Share
3.18
Revenue Per Share
176.244
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.211
Return On Assets
0.0207
The market value of HDFC Bank Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HDFC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HDFC Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HDFC Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HDFC Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HDFC Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HDFC Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HDFC Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HDFC Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.