The Hain Celestial Stock Price Prediction

HAIN Stock  USD 7.86  0.07  0.88%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Hain Celestial's share price is approaching 33. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hain Celestial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

33

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Hain Celestial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hain Celestial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hain Celestial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hain Celestial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hain Celestial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Hain Celestial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hain Celestial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.14
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.46
Wall Street Target Price
12.42
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hain Celestial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hain stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hain Celestial over a specific investment horizon. Using Hain Celestial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Hain Celestial from the perspective of Hain Celestial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hain Celestial using Hain Celestial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hain using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hain Celestial's stock price.

Hain Celestial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hain Celestial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hain. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hain Celestial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Hain Celestial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hain Celestial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hain Celestial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
10.8484
Short Percent
0.0611
Short Ratio
3.13
Shares Short Prior Month
3.9 M
50 Day MA
9.6022

Hain Celestial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hain Celestial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hain. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hain can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Hain Celestial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hain Celestial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hain Celestial.

Hain Celestial Implied Volatility

    
  32.14  
Hain Celestial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Hain Celestial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hain Celestial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hain Celestial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hain Celestial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hain Celestial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hain Celestial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hain because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hain Celestial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hain contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Hain Celestial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.01% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Hain Celestial trading at USD 7.86, that is roughly USD 0.16 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hain Celestial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Hain Celestial options at the current volatility level of 32.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Hain Celestial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hain Celestial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.969.1612.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.097.3010.50
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.0414.3315.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.080.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hain Celestial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hain Celestial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hain Celestial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hain Celestial.

Hain Celestial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hain Celestial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hain Celestial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hain Celestial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hain Celestial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hain Celestial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hain Celestial's historical news coverage. Hain Celestial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.85 and 11.25, respectively. We have considered Hain Celestial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.86
8.05
After-hype Price
11.25
Upside
Hain Celestial is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hain Celestial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hain Celestial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hain Celestial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hain Celestial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hain Celestial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.54 
3.19
  0.22 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.86
8.05
2.42 
797.50  
Notes

Hain Celestial Hype Timeline

Hain Celestial is currently traded for 7.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Hain is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Hain Celestial is about 2814.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.80. The company currently holds 918.76 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Hain Celestial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hain Celestial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hain Celestial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hain Celestial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hain Celestial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hain Celestial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hain Celestial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hain Celestial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hain Celestial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Hain Celestial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hain Celestial based on analysis of Hain Celestial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hain Celestial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hain Celestial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Book Value Ratio2.041.10.991.64
Operating Cycle109.71113.59130.63132.14

Story Coverage note for Hain Celestial

The number of cover stories for Hain Celestial depends on current market conditions and Hain Celestial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hain Celestial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hain Celestial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hain Celestial Short Properties

Hain Celestial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hain Celestial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Hain Celestial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hain Celestial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hain Celestial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.4 M
When determining whether Hain Celestial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hain Celestial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Hain Celestial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Hain Celestial Stock:
Check out Hain Celestial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running Hain Celestial's price analysis, check to measure Hain Celestial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hain Celestial is operating at the current time. Most of Hain Celestial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hain Celestial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hain Celestial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hain Celestial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hain Celestial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hain Celestial. If investors know Hain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hain Celestial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Earnings Share
(1.77)
Revenue Per Share
19.901
Return On Assets
0.0214
Return On Equity
(0.15)
The market value of Hain Celestial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hain Celestial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hain Celestial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hain Celestial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hain Celestial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hain Celestial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hain Celestial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hain Celestial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.