Goldman Sachs Group Stock Price Prediction

GS Stock  USD 415.25  9.07  2.23%   
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Goldman Sachs' share price is at 58. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Goldman Sachs, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Goldman Sachs Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Goldman Sachs shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Goldman Sachs' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Goldman Sachs and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Goldman Sachs' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Goldman Sachs Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Goldman Sachs' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.649
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
8.98
EPS Estimate Current Year
34.04
EPS Estimate Next Year
39.03
Wall Street Target Price
418.91
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Goldman Sachs based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Goldman stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Goldman Sachs over a specific investment horizon. Using Goldman Sachs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goldman Sachs Group from the perspective of Goldman Sachs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Goldman Sachs using Goldman Sachs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Goldman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Goldman Sachs' stock price.

Goldman Sachs Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Goldman Sachs' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Goldman. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Goldman Sachs stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Goldman Sachs may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Goldman Sachs and may potentially protect profits, hedge Goldman Sachs with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
349.5192
Short Percent
0.0151
Short Ratio
2.11
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
388.4402

Goldman Sachs Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Goldman Sachs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Goldman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Goldman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Goldman Sachs Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Goldman Sachs' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Goldman Sachs.

Goldman Sachs Implied Volatility

    
  29.92  
Goldman Sachs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Goldman Sachs Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Goldman Sachs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Goldman Sachs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Goldman Sachs' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Goldman Sachs. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Goldman Sachs to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Goldman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Goldman Sachs after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 414.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Goldman contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Goldman Sachs Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.87% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With Goldman Sachs trading at USD 415.25, that is roughly USD 7.76 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Goldman Sachs' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Goldman Sachs Group options at the current volatility level of 29.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Goldman Sachs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goldman Sachs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
363.01364.16456.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
419.70420.85422.00
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
326.46358.75398.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.818.749.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goldman Sachs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goldman Sachs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goldman Sachs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goldman Sachs Group.

Goldman Sachs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Goldman Sachs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goldman Sachs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Goldman Sachs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Goldman Sachs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Goldman Sachs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goldman Sachs' historical news coverage. Goldman Sachs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 413.67 and 415.97, respectively. We have considered Goldman Sachs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
415.25
413.67
Downside
414.82
After-hype Price
415.97
Upside
Goldman Sachs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goldman Sachs Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Goldman Sachs Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Goldman Sachs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goldman Sachs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goldman Sachs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.18
  0.60 
  0.07 
6 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
415.25
414.82
0.10 
27.57  
Notes

Goldman Sachs Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Goldman Sachs Group is listed for 415.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Goldman is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 414.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 27.57%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Goldman Sachs is about 237.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 415.18. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Goldman Sachs Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 22.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Goldman Sachs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Goldman Sachs Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Goldman Sachs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goldman Sachs' future price movements. Getting to know how Goldman Sachs rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goldman Sachs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VVisa Class A(0.51)10 per month 0.77 (0.02) 1.27 (1.22) 4.97 
DHILDiamond Hill Investment(5.32)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.19 (2.48) 11.38 
MBTCNocturne Acquisition Corp 0.00 5 per month 3.13 (0) 10.55 (8.26) 33.04 
MCAAMountain I Acquisition 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (1.33) 0.18 (0.09) 0.35 
MCAGMountain Crest Acquisition(0.11)2 per month 0.18 (0.53) 0.28 (0.28) 2.14 
MCACMonterey Capital Acquisition 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.75) 0.28 (0.09) 0.64 
MCAFMountain Crest Acquisition 1.10 1 per month 9.58  0.09  40.22 (15.23) 94.37 
DISTDistoken Acquisition 0.02 2 per month 0.23 (0.38) 0.56 (0.56) 1.96 
MCVTMill City Ventures(0.18)2 per month 4.90  0.02  8.79 (7.97) 23.44 
MSSAUMetal Sky Star 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (2.28) 0.00  0.00  0.45 

Goldman Sachs Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Goldman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goldman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goldman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Goldman Sachs Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Goldman Sachs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Goldman Sachs Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Goldman Sachs based on analysis of Goldman Sachs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Goldman Sachs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Goldman Sachs's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio2.262.552.842.85
Price Earnings Ratio6.210.7415.4413.62

Story Coverage note for Goldman Sachs

The number of cover stories for Goldman Sachs depends on current market conditions and Goldman Sachs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goldman Sachs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goldman Sachs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Goldman Sachs Short Properties

Goldman Sachs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Goldman Sachs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Goldman Sachs Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Goldman Sachs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goldman Sachs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding345.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments242 B
When determining whether Goldman Sachs Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Goldman Sachs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Goldman Sachs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Goldman Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Goldman Stock analysis

When running Goldman Sachs' price analysis, check to measure Goldman Sachs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goldman Sachs is operating at the current time. Most of Goldman Sachs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goldman Sachs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goldman Sachs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goldman Sachs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Goldman Sachs' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goldman Sachs. If investors know Goldman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goldman Sachs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.649
Dividend Share
10.5
Earnings Share
22.87
Revenue Per Share
132.705
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.116
The market value of Goldman Sachs Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goldman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goldman Sachs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goldman Sachs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goldman Sachs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goldman Sachs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Goldman Sachs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Goldman Sachs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goldman Sachs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.