Alphabet Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Alphabet headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet Inc from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
April 28, 2017
908.79
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
908.17
910.33
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
912.49
Upside
Upside upside
Alphabet is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Alphabet Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.24% 0.72% 1.54%  0.19% 2 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
908.79910.330.17%
11.23% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet Inc is currently traded for 908.79 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 1.54 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Alphabet Inc is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 910.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 11.23%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.17% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 90.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 908.98. The company reported previous year revenue of 90.27 B. Net Income was 19.48 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.31 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis