Gentex Stock Price Prediction

GNTX Stock  USD 36.31  0.40  1.11%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Gentex's share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gentex, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Gentex stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gentex shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gentex's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gentex and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gentex's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gentex, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gentex's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.352
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.49
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.12
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.43
Wall Street Target Price
39.25
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gentex based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gentex stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gentex over a specific investment horizon. Using Gentex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gentex from the perspective of Gentex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gentex using Gentex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gentex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gentex's stock price.

Gentex Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Gentex's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gentex. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gentex stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Gentex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gentex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gentex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
32.1757
Short Percent
0.0185
Short Ratio
2.6
Shares Short Prior Month
3.8 M
50 Day MA
35.0844

Gentex Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Gentex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gentex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gentex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gentex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gentex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gentex.

Gentex Implied Volatility

    
  10.19  
Gentex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gentex stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gentex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gentex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gentex's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gentex. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gentex to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gentex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gentex after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gentex contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gentex will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.64% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Gentex trading at USD 36.31, that is roughly USD 0.23 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gentex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gentex options at the current volatility level of 10.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Gentex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Gentex Stock please use our How to Invest in Gentex guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gentex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.7836.0637.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.0836.3637.63
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.5736.8940.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.480.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gentex. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gentex's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gentex's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gentex.

Gentex After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gentex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gentex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gentex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gentex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gentex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gentex's historical news coverage. Gentex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.02 and 37.58, respectively. We have considered Gentex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.31
36.30
After-hype Price
37.58
Upside
Gentex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gentex is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gentex Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gentex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gentex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gentex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.28
  0.01 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.31
36.30
0.03 
4,267  
Notes

Gentex Hype Timeline

Gentex is currently traded for 36.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Gentex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Gentex is about 997.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.33. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gentex was currently reported as 9.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.66. Gentex last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Gentex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Gentex Stock please use our How to Invest in Gentex guide.

Gentex Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gentex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gentex's future price movements. Getting to know how Gentex rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gentex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Gentex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gentex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gentex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gentex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gentex Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gentex stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gentex, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gentex based on analysis of Gentex hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gentex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gentex's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio17.4929.33
Short Term Coverage Ratios5.785.49

Story Coverage note for Gentex

The number of cover stories for Gentex depends on current market conditions and Gentex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gentex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gentex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gentex Short Properties

Gentex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gentex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gentex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gentex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gentex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding232.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments240.8 M
When determining whether Gentex offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gentex's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gentex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gentex Stock:
Check out Gentex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Gentex Stock please use our How to Invest in Gentex guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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When running Gentex's price analysis, check to measure Gentex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gentex is operating at the current time. Most of Gentex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gentex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gentex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gentex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gentex's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gentex. If investors know Gentex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gentex listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.352
Dividend Share
0.48
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
10.022
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.193
The market value of Gentex is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gentex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gentex's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gentex's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gentex's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gentex's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gentex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gentex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gentex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.