Cgi Inc Stock Price Prediction

GIB Stock  USD 110.79  0.85  0.77%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CGI's share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CGI, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

59

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
CGI Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CGI shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CGI's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CGI and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CGI's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CGI Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CGI's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.044
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.46
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.64
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.16
Wall Street Target Price
123.96
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CGI based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CGI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CGI over a specific investment horizon. Using CGI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CGI Inc from the perspective of CGI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CGI using CGI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CGI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CGI's stock price.

CGI Implied Volatility

    
  18.97  
CGI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CGI Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CGI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CGI stock will not fluctuate a lot when CGI's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CGI. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CGI to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CGI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CGI after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 109.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CGI contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CGI Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.19% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With CGI trading at USD 110.79, that is roughly USD 1.31 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CGI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CGI Inc options at the current volatility level of 18.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out CGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CGI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.62104.02120.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.07104.47105.87
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
103.20113.41125.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.451.541.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CGI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CGI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CGI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CGI Inc.

CGI After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CGI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CGI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CGI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CGI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CGI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CGI's historical news coverage. CGI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.51 and 111.31, respectively. We have considered CGI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
110.79
108.51
Downside
109.91
After-hype Price
111.31
Upside
CGI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CGI Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

CGI Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CGI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CGI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CGI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.39
  0.03 
  0.12 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
110.79
109.91
0.03 
267.31  
Notes

CGI Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March CGI Inc is traded for 110.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. CGI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 109.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on CGI is about 70.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.91. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of CGI was currently reported as 37.4. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.06. CGI Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.09. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of January 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out CGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CGI Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CGI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CGI's future price movements. Getting to know how CGI rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CGI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NTRPNextTrip(0.02)5 per month 4.58  0.09  13.25 (9.89) 49.89 
CLVT-PAClarivate Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.96 (3.58) 22.60 
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co 2.03 8 per month 0.30  0.17  1.73 (0.92) 3.96 
DECKDeckers Outdoor 7.18 9 per month 1.31  0.14  2.67 (2.96) 17.61 
THNCFThinkific Labs(0.48)25 per month 2.23  0.1  7.17 (6.27) 25.03 
931142BF9WALMART INC 755(0.57)24 per month 0.00 (0.05) 1.04 (1.53) 22.92 
GEGeneral Electric 3.65 10 per month 0.37  0.33  2.26 (1.40) 6.39 
CCitigroup 0.27 10 per month 0.60  0.17  2.31 (1.61) 7.66 
KLACKLA Tencor 6.68 9 per month 1.65  0.08  4.89 (2.19) 11.48 
CRMSalesforce 0.89 11 per month 1.29  0.04  2.85 (2.31) 8.93 

CGI Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze CGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CGI Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CGI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CGI Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CGI based on analysis of CGI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CGI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CGI's related companies.
 2020 2021 2023 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio2.21.912.54
Price Earnings Ratio19.516.7922.22

Story Coverage note for CGI

The number of cover stories for CGI depends on current market conditions and CGI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CGI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CGI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CGI Short Properties

CGI's future price predictability will typically decrease when CGI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CGI Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CGI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CGI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B
When determining whether CGI Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CGI's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cgi Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cgi Inc Stock:
Check out CGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running CGI's price analysis, check to measure CGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CGI is operating at the current time. Most of CGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CGI's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CGI. If investors know CGI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CGI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.044
Earnings Share
5.09
Revenue Per Share
62.124
Return On Assets
0.0932
Return On Equity
0.1988
The market value of CGI Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CGI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CGI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CGI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CGI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CGI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CGI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CGI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CGI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.