Guess Inc Stock Performance
| GES Stock | USD 25.94 0.53 2.00% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Guess holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.96, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guess will likely underperform. Please check Guess' value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Guess' current trending patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guess Inc are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Guess unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.25) | Five Day Return 2.99 | Year To Date Return 9.33 | Ten Year Return (3.15) | All Time Return 190.44 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0453 | Payout Ratio 1.0952 | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.2 | Dividend Date 2024-05-03 |
1 | Should You Think About Buying Guess, Inc. Now | 02/13/2024 |
2 | 7 Short-Squeeze Stocks That Could Send the Bears Into Panic-Mode | 03/07/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 35000 shares by Paul Marciano of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/08/2024 |
4 | Guess shares extend gains as investors cheer upbeat earnings | 03/21/2024 |
5 | Acquisition by Fabrice Benarouche of 300 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/28/2024 |
6 | Guess, Inc. Board Authorizes New 200 Million Share Repurchase Program | 04/01/2024 |
7 | Guess, Inc. and WHP Global Complete the Acquisition of rag bone Guess, Inc. Announces 50 Million Expansion of its Existing Asset-Based Revolving Credit Facility | 04/03/2024 |
8 | Disposition of 30000 shares by Maurice Marciano of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/04/2024 |
9 | Disposition of 211797 shares by Carlos Alberini of Guess at 30.32 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/05/2024 |
10 | Acquisition by Maurice Marciano of 54292 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/08/2024 |
11 | Can Guess Fuel an Abercrombie-Like Short Squeeze - sharewise | 04/10/2024 |
12 | Guess Incs Dividend Analysis - Yahoo Canada Finance | 04/15/2024 |
13 | Is Express Stock on the Brink of Death After Bankruptcy Filing | 04/22/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 275.8 M |
Guess |
Guess Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,094 in Guess Inc on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 500.00 from holding Guess Inc or generate 23.88% return on investment over 90 days. Guess Inc is generating 0.399% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.4006% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Guess, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guess Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guess' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Guess Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guess' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.1173
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Estimated Market Risk
| 3.4 actual daily | 30 70% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.4 actual daily | 7 93% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.12 actual daily | 9 91% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Guess is performing at about 9% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guess by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Guess Fundamentals Growth
Guess Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guess, and Guess fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guess Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0669 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.22 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 53.46 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.46 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.15 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.53 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.78 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 325.46 M | ||||
| Net Income | 195.83 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 275.76 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.23 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.16 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.54 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.92 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 330.38 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.09 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.42 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.59 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.41 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 433.92 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.04 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 327.06 M | ||||
About Guess Performance
To evaluate Guess Inc Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Guess generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Guess Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Guess Inc market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Guess's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 108.77 | 90.58 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.35 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | 0.29 |
Things to note about Guess Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guess for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guess Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guess Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Guess Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Guess Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: Is Express Stock on the Brink of Death After Bankruptcy Filing |
- Analyzing Guess' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guess' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guess' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guess' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guess' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guess' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guess' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guess Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. Note that the Guess Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guess' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Guess' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.295 | Dividend Share 1.125 | Earnings Share 3.09 | Revenue Per Share 52.064 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 |
The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.