Fiesta Restaurant Group Price Prediction

FRGIDelisted Stock  USD 8.49  0.00  0.00%   
The value of RSI of Fiesta Restaurant's the stock price is under 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of March 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fiesta, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Fiesta Restaurant stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fiesta Restaurant shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fiesta Restaurant's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fiesta Restaurant and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fiesta Restaurant's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fiesta Restaurant Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fiesta Restaurant based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fiesta stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fiesta Restaurant over a specific investment horizon. Using Fiesta Restaurant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fiesta Restaurant Group from the perspective of Fiesta Restaurant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fiesta Restaurant. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fiesta Restaurant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fiesta because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fiesta Restaurant after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fiesta Restaurant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.187.189.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.488.488.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.498.498.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fiesta Restaurant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fiesta Restaurant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fiesta Restaurant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fiesta Restaurant.

Fiesta Restaurant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fiesta Restaurant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fiesta Restaurant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fiesta Restaurant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fiesta Restaurant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fiesta Restaurant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fiesta Restaurant's historical news coverage. Fiesta Restaurant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.49 and 8.49, respectively. We have considered Fiesta Restaurant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.49
8.49
After-hype Price
8.49
Upside
Fiesta Restaurant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fiesta Restaurant is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fiesta Restaurant Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fiesta Restaurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fiesta Restaurant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fiesta Restaurant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.49
8.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Fiesta Restaurant Hype Timeline

Fiesta Restaurant is currently traded for 8.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fiesta is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fiesta Restaurant is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.49. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fiesta Restaurant has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.38. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.25. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Fiesta Restaurant Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fiesta Restaurant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fiesta Restaurant's future price movements. Getting to know how Fiesta Restaurant rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fiesta Restaurant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fiesta Restaurant Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fiesta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fiesta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fiesta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fiesta Restaurant Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fiesta Restaurant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fiesta Restaurant Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fiesta Restaurant based on analysis of Fiesta Restaurant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fiesta Restaurant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fiesta Restaurant's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Fiesta Restaurant

The number of cover stories for Fiesta Restaurant depends on current market conditions and Fiesta Restaurant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fiesta Restaurant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fiesta Restaurant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fiesta Restaurant Short Properties

Fiesta Restaurant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fiesta Restaurant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fiesta Restaurant Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fiesta Restaurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiesta Restaurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.2 M
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Fiesta Restaurant information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fiesta Restaurant's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Fiesta Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Fiesta Restaurant check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fiesta Restaurant's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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