Firstcash Stock Price Prediction

FCFS Stock  USD 126.21  2.36  1.91%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of FirstCash's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FirstCash, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
FirstCash stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FirstCash shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FirstCash's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FirstCash and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FirstCash's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FirstCash, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting FirstCash's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.6
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.94
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.1
Wall Street Target Price
133.5
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FirstCash based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FirstCash stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FirstCash over a specific investment horizon. Using FirstCash hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FirstCash from the perspective of FirstCash response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FirstCash using FirstCash's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FirstCash using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FirstCash's stock price.

FirstCash Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in FirstCash's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FirstCash. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FirstCash stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long FirstCash may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about FirstCash and may potentially protect profits, hedge FirstCash with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
104.952
Short Percent
0.0139
Short Ratio
1.81
Shares Short Prior Month
417.8 K
50 Day MA
116.951

FirstCash Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to FirstCash's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FirstCash. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FirstCash can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FirstCash. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FirstCash's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FirstCash.

FirstCash Implied Volatility

    
  20.68  
FirstCash's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FirstCash stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FirstCash's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FirstCash stock will not fluctuate a lot when FirstCash's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FirstCash. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FirstCash to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FirstCash because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FirstCash after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 126.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FirstCash contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FirstCash will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.29% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With FirstCash trading at USD 126.21, that is roughly USD 1.63 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FirstCash's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FirstCash options at the current volatility level of 20.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out FirstCash Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy FirstCash Stock please use our How to Invest in FirstCash guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FirstCash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.73105.09138.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
125.52126.88128.23
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
102.83113.00125.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.471.521.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FirstCash. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FirstCash's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FirstCash's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FirstCash.

FirstCash After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FirstCash at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FirstCash or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FirstCash, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FirstCash Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FirstCash's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FirstCash's historical news coverage. FirstCash's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 124.82 and 127.54, respectively. We have considered FirstCash's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
126.21
124.82
Downside
126.18
After-hype Price
127.54
Upside
FirstCash is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FirstCash is based on 12 months time horizon.

FirstCash Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FirstCash is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FirstCash backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FirstCash, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.47
  0.01 
  0.06 
11 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
126.21
126.18
0.02 
1,470  
Notes

FirstCash Hype Timeline

FirstCash is currently traded for 126.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. FirstCash is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 126.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on FirstCash is about 295.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.15. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of FirstCash was currently reported as 44.26. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.28. FirstCash last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of February 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out FirstCash Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy FirstCash Stock please use our How to Invest in FirstCash guide.

FirstCash Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FirstCash's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FirstCash's future price movements. Getting to know how FirstCash rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FirstCash may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VVisa Class A(0.51)10 per month 0.87  0.03  1.49 (1.39) 5.64 
DHILDiamond Hill Investment(5.32)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.41 (2.21) 13.00 
MBTCNocturne Acquisition Corp 0.00 5 per month 1.55 (0.01) 1.16 (1.97) 33.04 
MCAAMountain I Acquisition 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.32) 0.27 (0.18) 1.74 
MCAGMountain Crest Acquisition(0.11)2 per month 0.30 (0.16) 0.58 (0.28) 4.78 
MCACMonterey Capital Acquisition 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.34) 0.28 (0.18) 1.44 
MCAFMountain Crest Acquisition 1.10 1 per month 5.06  0.04  9.10 (11.28) 94.37 
DISTDistoken Acquisition 0.02 2 per month 0.41 (0.09) 0.38 (0.29) 11.91 
MCVTMill City Ventures(0.18)2 per month 4.21  0.01  7.92 (7.42) 32.19 
MSSAUMetal Sky Star 0.00 2 per month 1.02 (0.04) 0.55 (0.38) 27.69 

FirstCash Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FirstCash price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FirstCash using various technical indicators. When you analyze FirstCash charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FirstCash Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FirstCash stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FirstCash, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FirstCash based on analysis of FirstCash hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FirstCash's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FirstCash's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio1.81.51.561.3
Price Earnings Ratio24.5416.1922.4613.57

Story Coverage note for FirstCash

The number of cover stories for FirstCash depends on current market conditions and FirstCash's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FirstCash is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FirstCash's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

FirstCash Short Properties

FirstCash's future price predictability will typically decrease when FirstCash's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FirstCash often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FirstCash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FirstCash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments127 M
When determining whether FirstCash is a strong investment it is important to analyze FirstCash's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FirstCash's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FirstCash Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FirstCash Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy FirstCash Stock please use our How to Invest in FirstCash guide.
Note that the FirstCash information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FirstCash's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for FirstCash Stock analysis

When running FirstCash's price analysis, check to measure FirstCash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstCash is operating at the current time. Most of FirstCash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstCash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstCash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstCash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FirstCash's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FirstCash. If investors know FirstCash will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FirstCash listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Dividend Share
1.36
Earnings Share
4.8
Revenue Per Share
69.343
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.137
The market value of FirstCash is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FirstCash that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FirstCash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FirstCash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FirstCash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FirstCash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FirstCash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FirstCash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FirstCash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.