Fanhua Inc Stock Price Prediction

FANH Stock  USD 4.75  0.15  3.26%   
As of 29th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fanhua's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fanhua, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

42

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Fanhua Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fanhua shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fanhua's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fanhua and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fanhua's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fanhua Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fanhua's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.304
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.47
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.53
Wall Street Target Price
6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fanhua based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fanhua stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fanhua over a specific investment horizon. Using Fanhua hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fanhua Inc from the perspective of Fanhua response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fanhua using Fanhua's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fanhua using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fanhua's stock price.

Fanhua Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Fanhua's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fanhua Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fanhua's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fanhua stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fanhua's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fanhua. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fanhua to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fanhua because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fanhua after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fanhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fanhua's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.325.939.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.824.438.04
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.120.120.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fanhua. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fanhua's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fanhua's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fanhua Inc.

Fanhua After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fanhua at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fanhua or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fanhua, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fanhua Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fanhua's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fanhua's historical news coverage. Fanhua's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.84 and 8.06, respectively. We have considered Fanhua's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.75
4.45
After-hype Price
8.06
Upside
Fanhua is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fanhua Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fanhua Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fanhua is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fanhua backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fanhua, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
3.61
  0.30 
  0.50 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.75
4.45
6.32 
508.45  
Notes

Fanhua Hype Timeline

Fanhua Inc is currently traded for 4.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Fanhua is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.32%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Fanhua is about 304.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.25. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fanhua Inc last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Fanhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fanhua Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fanhua's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fanhua's future price movements. Getting to know how Fanhua rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fanhua may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fanhua Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fanhua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fanhua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fanhua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fanhua Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fanhua stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fanhua Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fanhua based on analysis of Fanhua hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fanhua's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fanhua's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0190.01710.0306
Price To Sales Ratio0.991.131.08

Story Coverage note for Fanhua

The number of cover stories for Fanhua depends on current market conditions and Fanhua's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fanhua is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fanhua's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Fanhua Short Properties

Fanhua's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fanhua's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fanhua Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fanhua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fanhua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments915.3 M
When determining whether Fanhua Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fanhua's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fanhua Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fanhua Inc Stock:
Check out Fanhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Fanhua Stock analysis

When running Fanhua's price analysis, check to measure Fanhua's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fanhua is operating at the current time. Most of Fanhua's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fanhua's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fanhua's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fanhua to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fanhua's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fanhua. If investors know Fanhua will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fanhua listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.304
Earnings Share
0.97
Revenue Per Share
59.54
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
0.0343
The market value of Fanhua Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fanhua that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fanhua's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fanhua's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fanhua's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fanhua's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fanhua's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fanhua is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fanhua's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.