Equinor Asa Adr Stock Price Prediction
| EQNR Stock | USD 27.31 0.08 0.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Equinor ASA ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Equinor ASA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Equinor ASA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Equinor ASA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Equinor ASA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Equinor ASA ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Equinor ASA's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.42 | Wall Street Target Price 30.68 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Equinor ASA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Equinor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Equinor ASA over a specific investment horizon. Using Equinor ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equinor ASA ADR from the perspective of Equinor ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Equinor ASA using Equinor ASA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Equinor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Equinor ASA's stock price.
Equinor ASA Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Equinor ASA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Equinor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Equinor ASA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Equinor ASA may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Equinor ASA and may potentially protect profits, hedge Equinor ASA with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 30.1202 | Short Percent 0.0054 | Short Ratio 3.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.6 M | 50 Day MA 26.4274 |
Equinor ASA ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Equinor ASA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Equinor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Equinor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Equinor ASA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Equinor ASA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Equinor ASA.
Equinor ASA Implied Volatility | 111.67 |
Equinor ASA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Equinor ASA ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Equinor ASA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Equinor ASA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Equinor ASA's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Equinor ASA. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Equinor ASA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Equinor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Equinor ASA after-hype prediction price | USD 27.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Equinor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Equinor ASA ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.98% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Equinor ASA trading at USD 27.31, that is roughly USD 1.91 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Equinor ASA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Equinor ASA ADR options at the current volatility level of 111.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Equinor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equinor ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Equinor ASA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Equinor ASA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equinor ASA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Equinor ASA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Equinor ASA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Equinor ASA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equinor ASA's historical news coverage. Equinor ASA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.62 and 28.84, respectively. We have considered Equinor ASA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Equinor ASA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equinor ASA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Equinor ASA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Equinor ASA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equinor ASA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equinor ASA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.31 | 27.23 | 0.00 |
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Equinor ASA Hype Timeline
Equinor ASA ADR is currently traded for 27.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Equinor is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Equinor ASA is about 4025.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.31. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.7. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Equinor ASA ADR last dividend was issued on the 15th of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Equinor ASA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Equinor ASA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Equinor ASA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equinor ASA's future price movements. Getting to know how Equinor ASA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equinor ASA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHEL | Shell PLC ADR | 0.42 | 10 per month | 0.39 | 0.19 | 1.68 | (1.21) | 3.93 | |
| PBR-A | Petrleo Brasileiro SA | (0.50) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.79 | (2.20) | 15.60 |
Equinor ASA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Equinor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equinor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equinor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Equinor ASA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Equinor ASA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Equinor ASA ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Equinor ASA based on analysis of Equinor ASA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Equinor ASA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Equinor ASA's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.021 | 0.0473 | 0.11 | 0.12 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.96 | 0.76 | 0.89 | 1.32 |
Story Coverage note for Equinor ASA
The number of cover stories for Equinor ASA depends on current market conditions and Equinor ASA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equinor ASA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equinor ASA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Equinor ASA Short Properties
Equinor ASA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Equinor ASA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Equinor ASA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Equinor ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equinor ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.9 B |
Check out Equinor ASA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
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When running Equinor ASA's price analysis, check to measure Equinor ASA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equinor ASA is operating at the current time. Most of Equinor ASA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equinor ASA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equinor ASA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equinor ASA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Equinor ASA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equinor ASA. If investors know Equinor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equinor ASA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Dividend Share 1.25 | Earnings Share 3.93 | Revenue Per Share 17.684 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Equinor ASA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equinor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equinor ASA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equinor ASA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equinor ASA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equinor ASA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equinor ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Equinor ASA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equinor ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.