Gold Road Resources Stock Volatility
| ELKMF Stock | USD 1.13 0.04 3.42% |
Gold Road Resources holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0011, which attests that the entity had a -0.0011% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gold Road Resources exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gold Road's Standard Deviation of 3.15, risk adjusted performance of 0.0073, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0657 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Gold Road's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Gold Road Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Gold daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Gold's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Gold Road volatility.
Gold |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Gold Road can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Gold Road at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Gold stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Gold Road's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Gold Pink Sheet
| 0.67 | NEM | Newmont Goldcorp Corp Financial Report 25th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | GOLD | Barrick Gold Corp Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Gold Pink Sheet
Gold Road Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Gold Road's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Gold pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Gold pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Gold Road's beta of -0.24 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Gold Road pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Gold Road Resources exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.14 and kurtosis of 9.94. Gold Road Resources is a potential penny stock. Although Gold Road may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Gold Road Resources. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Gold instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Gold Road Resources Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Gold Road correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Gold Beta |
Gold standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.22 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Gold Road's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Gold Road's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in gold pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Gold Road.
Gold Road Resources Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Gold Road pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Gold Road's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Gold Road's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Gold Road's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Gold Road's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Gold Road's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Gold Road's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Gold Road's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Gold Road Resources Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Gold Road Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gold Road Resources has a beta of -0.2415 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gold Road are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gold Road Resources is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gold Road or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gold Road's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gold pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Gold Road Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Gold Road Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Gold Road Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Gold Road is -89485.17. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 10.4 and standard deviation of 3.22. The mean deviation of Gold Road Resources is currently at 1.59. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0007 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Gold Road Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Gold Road historical daily return volatility represents how much of Gold Road pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 3.2243% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6245% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Gold Road Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Gold Road or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Gold Road may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Gold's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Gold Road and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Gold Road fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Gold Road Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Western Australia. Gold Road Resources Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in West Perth, Australia. Gold Road operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 73 people.
Gold Road's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Gold Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Gold Road's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Gold Road's volatility to invest better
Higher Gold Road's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Gold Road Resources stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Gold Road Resources stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Gold Road Resources investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Gold Road's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Gold Road's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Gold Road Investment Opportunity
Gold Road Resources has a volatility of 3.22 and is 5.19 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Gold Road Resources is lower than 28 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Gold Road Resources to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Gold Road to be traded at $1.0848 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Gold Road Resources and NYA is -0.05 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gold Road Resources and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Gold Road Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gold Road's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gold Road's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Gold Road pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0073 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0657 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (91,514) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Variance | 9.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Gold Road Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Gold Road as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Gold Road's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Gold Road's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Gold Road Resources.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Gold Road Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Gold Pink Sheet analysis
When running Gold Road's price analysis, check to measure Gold Road's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gold Road is operating at the current time. Most of Gold Road's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gold Road's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gold Road's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gold Road to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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