Ehealth Stock Price Prediction

EHTH Stock  USD 5.91  0.10  1.72%   
As of 28th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of EHealth's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EHealth, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
EHealth stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of EHealth shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of EHealth's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of EHealth and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from EHealth's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EHealth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting EHealth's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.108
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.58)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.49)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.05
Wall Street Target Price
8.33
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of EHealth based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The EHealth stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on EHealth over a specific investment horizon. Using EHealth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EHealth from the perspective of EHealth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards EHealth using EHealth's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards EHealth using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of EHealth's stock price.

EHealth Implied Volatility

    
  68.75  
EHealth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of EHealth stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if EHealth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that EHealth stock will not fluctuate a lot when EHealth's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in EHealth. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EHealth to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EHealth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

EHealth after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out EHealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EHealth Stock please use our How to Invest in EHealth guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EHealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.307.3912.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.066.1511.24
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.3111.3312.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.96-0.62-0.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EHealth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EHealth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EHealth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EHealth.

EHealth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EHealth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EHealth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EHealth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

EHealth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EHealth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EHealth's historical news coverage. EHealth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.54 and 10.72, respectively. We have considered EHealth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.91
5.63
After-hype Price
10.72
Upside
EHealth is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EHealth is based on 3 months time horizon.

EHealth Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EHealth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EHealth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EHealth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.51 
5.09
  0.28 
  0.09 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.91
5.63
4.74 
925.45  
Notes

EHealth Hype Timeline

EHealth is currently traded for 5.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. EHealth is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on EHealth is about 2847.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.00. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EHealth has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.72. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.37. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out EHealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EHealth Stock please use our How to Invest in EHealth guide.

EHealth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EHealth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EHealth's future price movements. Getting to know how EHealth rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EHealth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RYAAYRyanair Holdings PLC 3.51 9 per month 1.47  0.01  2.64 (2.12) 7.10 
WESWestern Midstream Partners 1.09 11 per month 0.70  0.14  2.68 (1.82) 13.15 
VSTVistra Energy Corp 0.26 12 per month 1.19  0.38  4.57 (2.70) 10.08 
PVARFPorvair Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (4.32) 0.00  0.00  0.26 
WABWestinghouse Air Brake(1.15)8 per month 0.42  0.12  1.39 (0.96) 3.03 
FUNCedar Fair LP(0.47)11 per month 1.45  0  2.32 (2.06) 7.77 
NEENextera Energy 0.09 10 per month 1.61 (0) 2.25 (2.69) 6.07 
ATOAtmos Energy(1.90)11 per month 0.86 (0.06) 1.62 (1.74) 4.71 

EHealth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EHealth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EHealth using various technical indicators. When you analyze EHealth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About EHealth Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of EHealth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EHealth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EHealth based on analysis of EHealth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EHealth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EHealth's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.310.01450.0130.0124
Price To Sales Ratio1.270.330.540.51

Story Coverage note for EHealth

The number of cover stories for EHealth depends on current market conditions and EHealth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EHealth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EHealth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

EHealth Short Properties

EHealth's future price predictability will typically decrease when EHealth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EHealth often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EHealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EHealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28 M
Cash And Short Term Investments121.7 M
When determining whether EHealth offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of EHealth's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ehealth Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ehealth Stock:
Check out EHealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EHealth Stock please use our How to Invest in EHealth guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for EHealth Stock analysis

When running EHealth's price analysis, check to measure EHealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EHealth is operating at the current time. Most of EHealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EHealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EHealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EHealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Is EHealth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EHealth. If investors know EHealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EHealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.108
Earnings Share
(2.37)
Revenue Per Share
16.165
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.262
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of EHealth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EHealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EHealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EHealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EHealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EHealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EHealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EHealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EHealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.