Doubleverify Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| DV Stock | USD 30.79 0.30 0.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
DoubleVerify Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of DoubleVerify Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of DoubleVerify Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of DoubleVerify Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from DoubleVerify Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DoubleVerify Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting DoubleVerify Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.891 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.51 | Wall Street Target Price 41.58 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of DoubleVerify Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The DoubleVerify stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on DoubleVerify Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using DoubleVerify Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DoubleVerify Holdings from the perspective of DoubleVerify Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DoubleVerify Holdings using DoubleVerify Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DoubleVerify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DoubleVerify Holdings' stock price.
DoubleVerify Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in DoubleVerify Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards DoubleVerify. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of DoubleVerify Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long DoubleVerify Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DoubleVerify Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge DoubleVerify Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.8718 | Short Percent 0.0553 | Short Ratio 2.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.9 M | 50 Day MA 34.4628 |
DoubleVerify Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DoubleVerify Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DoubleVerify. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DoubleVerify can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DoubleVerify Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DoubleVerify Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DoubleVerify Holdings.
DoubleVerify Holdings Implied Volatility | 62.17 |
DoubleVerify Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DoubleVerify Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DoubleVerify Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DoubleVerify Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when DoubleVerify Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in DoubleVerify Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DoubleVerify Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DoubleVerify because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
DoubleVerify Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 30.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DoubleVerify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DoubleVerify Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.89% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With DoubleVerify Holdings trading at USD 30.79, that is roughly USD 1.2 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DoubleVerify Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring DoubleVerify Holdings options at the current volatility level of 62.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
DoubleVerify |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DoubleVerify Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DoubleVerify Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DoubleVerify Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DoubleVerify Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DoubleVerify Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DoubleVerify Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DoubleVerify Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DoubleVerify Holdings' historical news coverage. DoubleVerify Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.03 and 33.95, respectively. We have considered DoubleVerify Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DoubleVerify Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DoubleVerify Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
DoubleVerify Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DoubleVerify Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DoubleVerify Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DoubleVerify Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.46 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 11 Events / Month | 17 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.79 | 30.49 | 0.00 |
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DoubleVerify Holdings Hype Timeline
As of April 24, 2024 DoubleVerify Holdings is listed for 30.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. DoubleVerify is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on DoubleVerify Holdings is about 1816.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.72. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2016. DoubleVerify Holdings had 2:1 split on the June 22, 1998. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out DoubleVerify Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.DoubleVerify Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DoubleVerify Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DoubleVerify Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how DoubleVerify Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DoubleVerify Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
DoubleVerify Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DoubleVerify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DoubleVerify using various technical indicators. When you analyze DoubleVerify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About DoubleVerify Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of DoubleVerify Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DoubleVerify Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DoubleVerify Holdings based on analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DoubleVerify Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DoubleVerify Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002378 | 0.001118 | 0.001286 | 0.001221 | Price To Sales Ratio | 16.23 | 7.95 | 10.78 | 10.24 |
Story Coverage note for DoubleVerify Holdings
The number of cover stories for DoubleVerify Holdings depends on current market conditions and DoubleVerify Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DoubleVerify Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DoubleVerify Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DoubleVerify Holdings Short Properties
DoubleVerify Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when DoubleVerify Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DoubleVerify Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DoubleVerify Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DoubleVerify Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 173.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 310.3 M |
Check out DoubleVerify Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy DoubleVerify Stock please use our How to Invest in DoubleVerify Holdings guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for DoubleVerify Stock analysis
When running DoubleVerify Holdings' price analysis, check to measure DoubleVerify Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DoubleVerify Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of DoubleVerify Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DoubleVerify Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DoubleVerify Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DoubleVerify Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DoubleVerify Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DoubleVerify Holdings. If investors know DoubleVerify will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DoubleVerify Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.891 | Earnings Share 0.41 | Revenue Per Share 3.412 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.289 | Return On Assets 0.0477 |
The market value of DoubleVerify Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DoubleVerify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DoubleVerify Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DoubleVerify Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DoubleVerify Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DoubleVerify Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DoubleVerify Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DoubleVerify Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DoubleVerify Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.