Douyu International Holdings Stock Price Prediction

DOYU Stock  USD 6.59  0.41  5.86%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of DouYu International's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling DouYu International, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
DouYu International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of DouYu International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of DouYu International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of DouYu International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from DouYu International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DouYu International Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting DouYu International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.476
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.01
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.03
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.05
Wall Street Target Price
0.71
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of DouYu International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The DouYu stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on DouYu International over a specific investment horizon. Using DouYu International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DouYu International Holdings from the perspective of DouYu International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DouYu International using DouYu International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DouYu using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DouYu International's stock price.

DouYu International Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
DouYu International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DouYu International Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DouYu International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DouYu International stock will not fluctuate a lot when DouYu International's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in DouYu International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DouYu International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DouYu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

DouYu International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out DouYu International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DouYu International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.476.4510.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.806.7910.77
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.301.431.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
00.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DouYu International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DouYu International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DouYu International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DouYu International.

DouYu International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of DouYu International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DouYu International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DouYu International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

DouYu International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting DouYu International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DouYu International's historical news coverage. DouYu International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.61 and 10.57, respectively. We have considered DouYu International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.59
6.59
After-hype Price
10.57
Upside
DouYu International is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DouYu International is based on 3 months time horizon.

DouYu International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DouYu International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DouYu International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DouYu International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
3.99
  2.96 
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.59
6.59
0.00 
62.05  
Notes

DouYu International Hype Timeline

DouYu International is currently traded for 6.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.96, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. DouYu is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 62.05%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on DouYu International is about 5700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.62. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of DouYu International was currently reported as 20.92. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 401.89. DouYu International had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 28th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out DouYu International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

DouYu International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to DouYu International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DouYu International's future price movements. Getting to know how DouYu International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DouYu International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GVVisionary Education Technology 0.02 9 per month 3.06 (0.01) 6.25 (5.56) 28.75 
ZEUSOlympic Steel(2.54)9 per month 2.12 (0.01) 2.89 (3.31) 10.44 
HMYHarmony Gold Mining 0.18 9 per month 1.91  0.09  8.24 (3.44) 16.29 
JELDJeld Wen Holding 0.05 8 per month 2.24  0.02  3.51 (3.39) 9.86 
GFFGriffon 1.17 11 per month 1.53  0.09  2.01 (2.40) 15.36 
TGANTransphorm Technology(0.03)12 per month 0.46  0.1  1.88 (1.01) 26.87 
AMKRAmkor Technology 1.64 12 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.71 (4.71) 12.11 

DouYu International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine DouYu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DouYu using various technical indicators. When you analyze DouYu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About DouYu International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of DouYu International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DouYu International Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DouYu International based on analysis of DouYu International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DouYu International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DouYu International's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield1.79E-41.59E-4
Price To Sales Ratio0.50.47

Story Coverage note for DouYu International

The number of cover stories for DouYu International depends on current market conditions and DouYu International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DouYu International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DouYu International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

DouYu International Short Properties

DouYu International's future price predictability will typically decrease when DouYu International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DouYu International Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DouYu International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DouYu International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding319.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B
When determining whether DouYu International is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if DouYu Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Douyu International Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Douyu International Holdings Stock:
Check out DouYu International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running DouYu International's price analysis, check to measure DouYu International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DouYu International is operating at the current time. Most of DouYu International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DouYu International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DouYu International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DouYu International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DouYu International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DouYu International. If investors know DouYu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DouYu International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.476
Earnings Share
0.62
Revenue Per Share
17.295
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of DouYu International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DouYu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DouYu International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DouYu International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DouYu International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DouYu International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DouYu International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DouYu International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DouYu International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.