Designer Brands Stock Price Prediction

DBI Stock  USD 10.62  0.26  2.51%   
The value of RSI of Designer Brands' the stock price is under 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of March 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Designer, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Designer Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Designer Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Designer Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Designer Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Designer Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Designer Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Designer Brands' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.66
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.81
Wall Street Target Price
11
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.47)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Designer Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Designer stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Designer Brands over a specific investment horizon. Using Designer Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Designer Brands from the perspective of Designer Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Designer Brands using Designer Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Designer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Designer Brands' stock price.

Designer Brands Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Designer Brands' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Designer. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Designer Brands stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Designer Brands may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Designer Brands and may potentially protect profits, hedge Designer Brands with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
10.1985
Short Percent
0.3474
Short Ratio
8.26
Shares Short Prior Month
9.9 M
50 Day MA
9.6784

Designer Brands Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Designer Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Designer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Designer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Designer Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Designer Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Designer Brands.

Designer Brands Implied Volatility

    
  49.5  
Designer Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Designer Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Designer Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Designer Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Designer Brands' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Designer Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Designer Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Designer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Designer Brands after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Designer contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Designer Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.09% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Designer Brands trading at USD 10.62, that is roughly USD 0.33 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Designer Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Designer Brands options at the current volatility level of 49.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Designer Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Designer Stock please use our How to Invest in Designer Brands guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Designer Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9210.9013.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.3810.3613.34
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.5312.6714.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.150.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Designer Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Designer Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Designer Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Designer Brands.

Designer Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Designer Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Designer Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Designer Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Designer Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Designer Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Designer Brands' historical news coverage. Designer Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.68 and 13.64, respectively. We have considered Designer Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.62
10.66
After-hype Price
13.64
Upside
Designer Brands is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Designer Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.

Designer Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Designer Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Designer Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Designer Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
2.98
  0.04 
  0.03 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.62
10.66
0.38 
2,483  
Notes

Designer Brands Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Designer Brands is traded for 10.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Designer is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Designer Brands is about 3576.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.65. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.07 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 29.06 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.08 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Designer Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Designer Stock please use our How to Invest in Designer Brands guide.

Designer Brands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Designer Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Designer Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Designer Brands rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Designer Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMacys Inc(0.83)11 per month 2.26 (0.04) 3.75 (3.19) 16.61 
WWayfair 0.23 10 per month 3.31 (0.02) 8.19 (5.77) 17.32 
DIBS1StdibsCom(0.06)9 per month 2.42  0.1  8.04 (5.14) 17.90 
ANAutoNation(4.05)10 per month 1.80  0.02  3.41 (3.06) 8.21 
BQBoqii Holding Limited(0.08)1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 9.38 (9.09) 28.41 
HDHome Depot 4.99 8 per month 0.82  0.03  2.02 (1.66) 5.22 
JDJD Inc Adr 0.50 11 per month 3.00 (0.03) 5.33 (4.87) 20.06 
LELands End 0.10 13 per month 2.96 (0.01) 5.38 (4.86) 15.67 
LLLL Flooring Holdings(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.37) 6.31 (5.73) 16.26 

Designer Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Designer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Designer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Designer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Designer Brands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Designer Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Designer Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Designer Brands based on analysis of Designer Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Designer Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Designer Brands's related companies.
 2010 2014 2020 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio22.5110.8119.4320.76
Short Term Coverage Ratios22.01.050.9411.75

Story Coverage note for Designer Brands

The number of cover stories for Designer Brands depends on current market conditions and Designer Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Designer Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Designer Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Designer Brands Short Properties

Designer Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Designer Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Designer Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Designer Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Designer Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.2 M
When determining whether Designer Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Designer Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Designer Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Designer Brands Stock:
Check out Designer Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Designer Stock please use our How to Invest in Designer Brands guide.
Note that the Designer Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Designer Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Designer Brands' price analysis, check to measure Designer Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Designer Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Designer Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Designer Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Designer Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Designer Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Designer Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Designer Brands. If investors know Designer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Designer Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
0.46
Revenue Per Share
50.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Designer Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Designer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Designer Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Designer Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Designer Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Designer Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Designer Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Designer Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Designer Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.