CVS Health Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring CVS Health headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CVS Health hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CVS Health estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
  Expected price to next headline  
March 29, 2017
78.61
Current Value
Downside upside
78.64
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
79.81
Upside
Upside upside
CVS Health is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 1 month time horizon.

CVS Health Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15% 0.39% 0.03%  0.01% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
78.6178.640.04%
177.27% 

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On 29 of March CVS Health Corporation is traded for  78.61 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. CVS Health Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 78.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 177.27%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 731.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 78.6. The company reported last year revenue of 153.29 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.24 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.07 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MEDNAX Inc(0.23) 2 per month 0.00 (0.11)  0.00  1.28 (1.46)  3.88 
Laboratory Corp of America Holdings(0.01) 2 per month 0.47  0.12 (0.36)  0.72 (0.80)  1.64 
Alere Inc 0.18 1 per month 0.00 (0.0095)  0.00  2.95 (1.99)  4.81 
HEALTHSOUTH Corp 0.10 1 per month 0.90  0.06 (0.92)  1.89 (1.33)  5.41 
HCA Holdings Inc(0.36) 1 per month 1.00  0.09 (1.84)  3.45 (1.54)  3.78 
Concord Medical Services Holdings Limited 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.10)  0.00  1.26 (1.89)  3.59