AVIS BUDGET (Germany) Price Prediction

CUCA Stock  EUR 109.25  0.90  0.83%   
At this time, the value of RSI of AVIS BUDGET's share price is approaching 37 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AVIS BUDGET, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
AVIS BUDGET GROUP stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AVIS BUDGET shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AVIS BUDGET's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AVIS BUDGET and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AVIS BUDGET's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AVIS BUDGET GROUP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AVIS BUDGET based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AVIS stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AVIS BUDGET over a specific investment horizon. Using AVIS BUDGET hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AVIS BUDGET GROUP from the perspective of AVIS BUDGET response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AVIS BUDGET. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AVIS BUDGET to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AVIS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AVIS BUDGET after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 108.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out AVIS BUDGET Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AVIS BUDGET's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.72104.51119.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.7698.55102.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.96105.87108.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AVIS BUDGET. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AVIS BUDGET's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AVIS BUDGET's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AVIS BUDGET GROUP.

AVIS BUDGET After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AVIS BUDGET at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AVIS BUDGET or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AVIS BUDGET, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AVIS BUDGET Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AVIS BUDGET's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AVIS BUDGET's historical news coverage. AVIS BUDGET's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.56 and 112.14, respectively. We have considered AVIS BUDGET's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
109.25
104.56
Downside
108.35
After-hype Price
112.14
Upside
AVIS BUDGET is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AVIS BUDGET GROUP is based on 3 months time horizon.

AVIS BUDGET Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AVIS BUDGET is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AVIS BUDGET backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AVIS BUDGET, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
3.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
109.25
108.35
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

AVIS BUDGET Hype Timeline

AVIS BUDGET GROUP is currently traded for 109.25on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AVIS is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on AVIS BUDGET is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.25. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out AVIS BUDGET Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AVIS BUDGET Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AVIS BUDGET's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AVIS BUDGET's future price movements. Getting to know how AVIS BUDGET rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AVIS BUDGET may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AVIS BUDGET Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AVIS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AVIS using various technical indicators. When you analyze AVIS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AVIS BUDGET Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AVIS BUDGET stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AVIS BUDGET GROUP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AVIS BUDGET based on analysis of AVIS BUDGET hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AVIS BUDGET's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AVIS BUDGET's related companies.

Story Coverage note for AVIS BUDGET

The number of cover stories for AVIS BUDGET depends on current market conditions and AVIS BUDGET's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AVIS BUDGET is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AVIS BUDGET's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

AVIS BUDGET Short Properties

AVIS BUDGET's future price predictability will typically decrease when AVIS BUDGET's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AVIS BUDGET GROUP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AVIS BUDGET's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AVIS BUDGET's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39 M
Short Long Term Debt27 M
When determining whether AVIS BUDGET GROUP is a strong investment it is important to analyze AVIS BUDGET's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AVIS BUDGET's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AVIS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AVIS BUDGET Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running AVIS BUDGET's price analysis, check to measure AVIS BUDGET's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AVIS BUDGET is operating at the current time. Most of AVIS BUDGET's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AVIS BUDGET's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AVIS BUDGET's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AVIS BUDGET to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AVIS BUDGET's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AVIS BUDGET is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AVIS BUDGET's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.