Cinemark Holdings Stock Price Prediction

CNK Stock  USD 18.07  0.48  2.73%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Cinemark Holdings' share price is above 70 as of now suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Cinemark, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Cinemark Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cinemark Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cinemark Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cinemark Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cinemark Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cinemark Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cinemark Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.23)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.75
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.62
Wall Street Target Price
17.9
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cinemark Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cinemark stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cinemark Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Cinemark Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cinemark Holdings from the perspective of Cinemark Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cinemark Holdings using Cinemark Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cinemark using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cinemark Holdings' stock price.

Cinemark Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Cinemark Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cinemark. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cinemark Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Cinemark Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cinemark Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cinemark Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
16.0641
Short Percent
0.3579
Short Ratio
7.35
Shares Short Prior Month
25.9 M
50 Day MA
16.031

Cinemark Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cinemark Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cinemark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cinemark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cinemark Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cinemark Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cinemark Holdings.

Cinemark Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  36.43  
Cinemark Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cinemark Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cinemark Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cinemark Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cinemark Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cinemark Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cinemark Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cinemark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cinemark Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cinemark contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cinemark Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.28% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Cinemark Holdings trading at USD 18.07, that is roughly USD 0.41 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cinemark Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cinemark Holdings options at the current volatility level of 36.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Cinemark Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cinemark Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5819.5121.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7517.6719.60
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.4520.2722.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.5-0.26-0.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cinemark Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cinemark Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cinemark Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cinemark Holdings.

Cinemark Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cinemark Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cinemark Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cinemark Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cinemark Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cinemark Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cinemark Holdings' historical news coverage. Cinemark Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.94 and 19.80, respectively. We have considered Cinemark Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.07
17.87
After-hype Price
19.80
Upside
Cinemark Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cinemark Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cinemark Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cinemark Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cinemark Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cinemark Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
1.93
  0.20 
  0.06 
12 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.07
17.87
1.11 
419.57  
Notes

Cinemark Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Cinemark Holdings is traded for 18.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Cinemark is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Cinemark Holdings is about 1399.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.01. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5. Cinemark Holdings last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Cinemark Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.

Cinemark Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cinemark Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cinemark Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Cinemark Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cinemark Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Cinemark Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cinemark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cinemark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cinemark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cinemark Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cinemark Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cinemark Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cinemark Holdings based on analysis of Cinemark Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cinemark Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cinemark Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0240.042
Price To Sales Ratio0.70.66

Story Coverage note for Cinemark Holdings

The number of cover stories for Cinemark Holdings depends on current market conditions and Cinemark Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cinemark Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cinemark Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cinemark Holdings Short Properties

Cinemark Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cinemark Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cinemark Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cinemark Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cinemark Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152 M
Cash And Short Term Investments849.1 M
When determining whether Cinemark Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cinemark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock:
Check out Cinemark Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Complementary Tools for Cinemark Stock analysis

When running Cinemark Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Cinemark Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cinemark Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Cinemark Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cinemark Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cinemark Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cinemark Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cinemark Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cinemark Holdings. If investors know Cinemark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cinemark Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Earnings Share
1.34
Revenue Per Share
25.749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0481
The market value of Cinemark Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cinemark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cinemark Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cinemark Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cinemark Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cinemark Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cinemark Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cinemark Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cinemark Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.