Credit Acceptance Stock Price Prediction
| CACC Stock | USD 536.40 3.85 0.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Credit Acceptance stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Credit Acceptance shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Credit Acceptance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Credit Acceptance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Credit Acceptance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Credit Acceptance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Credit Acceptance's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 7.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 36.97 | EPS Estimate Next Year 42.2 | Wall Street Target Price 491 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Credit Acceptance based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Credit stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Credit Acceptance over a specific investment horizon. Using Credit Acceptance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Credit Acceptance from the perspective of Credit Acceptance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Credit Acceptance using Credit Acceptance's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Credit using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Credit Acceptance's stock price.
Credit Acceptance Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Credit Acceptance's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Credit. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Credit Acceptance stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Credit Acceptance may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Credit Acceptance and may potentially protect profits, hedge Credit Acceptance with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 504.0944 | Short Percent 0.1488 | Short Ratio 9.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 656.1 K | 50 Day MA 551.2014 |
Credit Acceptance Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Credit Acceptance's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Credit. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Credit can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Credit Acceptance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Credit Acceptance's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Credit Acceptance.
Credit Acceptance Implied Volatility | 43.35 |
Credit Acceptance's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Credit Acceptance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Credit Acceptance's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Credit Acceptance stock will not fluctuate a lot when Credit Acceptance's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Credit Acceptance. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Credit Acceptance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Credit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Credit Acceptance after-hype prediction price | USD 536.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Credit contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Credit Acceptance will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.71% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Credit Acceptance trading at USD 536.4, that is roughly USD 14.53 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Credit Acceptance's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Credit Acceptance options at the current volatility level of 43.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Credit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Credit Acceptance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Credit Acceptance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Credit Acceptance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Credit Acceptance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Credit Acceptance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Credit Acceptance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Credit Acceptance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Credit Acceptance's historical news coverage. Credit Acceptance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 534.68 and 538.10, respectively. We have considered Credit Acceptance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Credit Acceptance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Credit Acceptance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Credit Acceptance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Credit Acceptance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Credit Acceptance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Credit Acceptance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.71 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
536.40 | 536.39 | 0.00 |
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Credit Acceptance Hype Timeline
Credit Acceptance is currently traded for 536.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Credit is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Credit Acceptance is about 307.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 536.39. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Credit Acceptance was currently reported as 140.04. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.15. Credit Acceptance recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.99. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of December 1994. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Credit Acceptance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Credit Acceptance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Credit Acceptance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Credit Acceptance's future price movements. Getting to know how Credit Acceptance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Credit Acceptance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| V | Visa Class A | (0.91) | 9 per month | 0.93 | (0.03) | 1.27 | (1.40) | 4.97 | |
| PYPL | PayPal Holdings | (0.79) | 7 per month | 2.73 | 0.02 | 3.67 | (3.16) | 17.25 | |
| MA | Mastercard | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.97 | 0.03 | 1.57 | (1.43) | 6.10 |
Credit Acceptance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Credit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Credit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Credit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Credit Acceptance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Credit Acceptance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Credit Acceptance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Credit Acceptance based on analysis of Credit Acceptance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Credit Acceptance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Credit Acceptance's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002336 | 7.5E-4 | 7.13E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.46 | 3.64 | 5.87 |
Story Coverage note for Credit Acceptance
The number of cover stories for Credit Acceptance depends on current market conditions and Credit Acceptance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Credit Acceptance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Credit Acceptance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Credit Acceptance Short Properties
Credit Acceptance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Credit Acceptance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Credit Acceptance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Credit Acceptance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Credit Acceptance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
Check out Credit Acceptance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Credit Stock refer to our How to Trade Credit Stock guide.Note that the Credit Acceptance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Credit Acceptance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for Credit Stock analysis
When running Credit Acceptance's price analysis, check to measure Credit Acceptance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credit Acceptance is operating at the current time. Most of Credit Acceptance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credit Acceptance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credit Acceptance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credit Acceptance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories |
Is Credit Acceptance's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Credit Acceptance. If investors know Credit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Credit Acceptance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Earnings Share 21.99 | Revenue Per Share 69.418 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets 0.0394 |
The market value of Credit Acceptance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Credit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Credit Acceptance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Credit Acceptance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Credit Acceptance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Credit Acceptance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Credit Acceptance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Credit Acceptance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Credit Acceptance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.