Blackstone Group Stock Price Prediction

BX Stock  USD 130.89  3.01  2.35%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Blackstone's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Blackstone, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Blackstone Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Blackstone shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Blackstone's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Blackstone and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Blackstone's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blackstone Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Blackstone's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.04
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.96
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.15
Wall Street Target Price
129.82
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Blackstone based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Blackstone stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Blackstone over a specific investment horizon. Using Blackstone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackstone Group from the perspective of Blackstone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blackstone using Blackstone's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blackstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blackstone's stock price.

Blackstone Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Blackstone's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Blackstone. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Blackstone stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Blackstone may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Blackstone and may potentially protect profits, hedge Blackstone with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
110.444
Short Percent
0.0332
Short Ratio
6.91
Shares Short Prior Month
24.2 M
50 Day MA
125.1188

Blackstone Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Blackstone's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blackstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blackstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blackstone Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blackstone's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blackstone.

Blackstone Implied Volatility

    
  43.66  
Blackstone's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blackstone Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blackstone's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blackstone stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blackstone's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Blackstone. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Blackstone to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Blackstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Blackstone after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 130.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Blackstone contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Blackstone Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.73% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With Blackstone trading at USD 130.89, that is roughly USD 3.57 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Blackstone's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Blackstone Group options at the current volatility level of 43.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Blackstone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
120.07121.73143.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.41132.07133.73
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
97.96107.65119.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.860.981.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blackstone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blackstone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blackstone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blackstone Group.

Blackstone After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Blackstone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blackstone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blackstone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Blackstone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Blackstone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blackstone's historical news coverage. Blackstone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 129.23 and 132.55, respectively. We have considered Blackstone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
130.89
129.23
Downside
130.89
After-hype Price
132.55
Upside
Blackstone is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blackstone Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Blackstone Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blackstone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackstone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blackstone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.66
  0.04 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
130.89
130.89
0.00 
125.76  
Notes

Blackstone Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Blackstone Group is listed for 130.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Blackstone is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 125.76%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Blackstone is about 1257.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.89. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.81. Blackstone Group last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Blackstone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Blackstone Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Blackstone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blackstone's future price movements. Getting to know how Blackstone rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blackstone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Blackstone Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Blackstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Blackstone Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Blackstone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blackstone Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blackstone based on analysis of Blackstone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Blackstone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blackstone's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04940.120.02510.0238
Price To Sales Ratio5.597.712.8713.51

Story Coverage note for Blackstone

The number of cover stories for Blackstone depends on current market conditions and Blackstone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blackstone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blackstone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Blackstone Short Properties

Blackstone's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blackstone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blackstone Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blackstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding755.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 B
When determining whether Blackstone Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Blackstone's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackstone Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackstone Group Stock:
Check out Blackstone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Blackstone's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blackstone's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
Dividend Share
3.35
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
10.175
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
The market value of Blackstone Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.