Correlation Between BP PLC and Ecopetrol

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both BP PLC and Ecopetrol at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining BP PLC and Ecopetrol into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between BP PLC ADR and Ecopetrol SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on BP PLC and Ecopetrol and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in BP PLC with a short position of Ecopetrol. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of BP PLC and Ecopetrol.

Diversification Opportunities for BP PLC and Ecopetrol

0.27
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between BP PLC and Ecopetrol is 0.27. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BP PLC ADR and Ecopetrol SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR and BP PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on BP PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with Ecopetrol. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ecopetrol SA ADR has no effect on the direction of BP PLC i.e., BP PLC and Ecopetrol go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between BP PLC and Ecopetrol

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon BP PLC is expected to generate 2.79 times less return on investment than Ecopetrol. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, BP PLC ADR is 2.26 times less risky than Ecopetrol. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ecopetrol SA ADR is currently generating about 0.31 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,030  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  139.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 13.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

BP PLC ADR  vs.  Ecopetrol SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
BP PLC ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BP PLC ADR are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady basic indicators, BP PLC may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ecopetrol SA ADR are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Ecopetrol is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

BP PLC and Ecopetrol Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with BP PLC and Ecopetrol

The main advantage of trading using opposite BP PLC and Ecopetrol positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if BP PLC position performs unexpectedly, Ecopetrol can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecopetrol will offset losses from the drop in Ecopetrol's long position.
The idea behind BP PLC ADR and Ecopetrol SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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