Box Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BOX -- USA Stock  

USD 17.90  0.26  1.47%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Box which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Box hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Box from the prospective of Box response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Box over a specific investment horizon. Check also Box Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Box After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Box Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 15, 2019
17.90
Current Value
17.90
After-hype Price
24.77
Upside
Box is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Box is based on 3 months time horizon.

Box Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.01% 2.29% 0.00%  0.00% 20 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 20 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.9017.900.00%
545.24% 

Box Hype Timeline

On 15 of September Box is traded for 17.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Box is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 545.24%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Box is about 45800.0%%. The volatility of related hype on Box is about 45800.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.9. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded loss per share of 0.92. Box last dividend was issued on November 19, 2013. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 20 days.
Check also Box Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Box Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BlackLine 0.05 14 per month 0.00 (0.0158)  2.82 (4.62)  39.48 
Evertec(0.91) 11 per month 1.91  0.07  2.42 (3.37)  18.64 
Dropbox(0.21) 19 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.69 (4.33)  16.19 
Black Knight 0.36 13 per month 0.97 (0.0106)  1.54 (1.68)  4.60 
Five9(0.50) 21 per month 2.62  0.0197  3.73 (4.45)  21.57 
Fair Isaac Corproation 1.10 23 per month 2.30  0.0171  3.57 (3.87)  11.55 
Amdocs Limited(0.02) 6 per month 0.60  0.1  1.10 (1.05)  4.88 
F5 Networks 0.67 20 per month 1.79 (0.0052)  2.66 (3.19)  8.10 
Box(0.42) 20 per month 0.00 (0.0327)  2.17 (3.65)  12.31 
EVO Payments(0.07) 17 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.07 (2.78)  8.60 
Check also Box Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
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