Bank Of Montreal Stock Price Prediction
| BMO Stock | USD 93.02 1.79 1.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Bank of Montreal stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bank of Montreal shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bank of Montreal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bank of Montreal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bank of Montreal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank of Montreal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bank of Montreal's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.567 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.01 | Wall Street Target Price 94.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.23 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bank of Montreal based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bank stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bank of Montreal over a specific investment horizon. Using Bank of Montreal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of Montreal from the perspective of Bank of Montreal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bank of Montreal using Bank of Montreal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bank using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bank of Montreal's stock price.
Bank of Montreal Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Bank of Montreal's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bank. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bank of Montreal stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Bank of Montreal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bank of Montreal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bank of Montreal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 88.9624 | Short Percent 0.0033 | Short Ratio 9 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.7 M | 50 Day MA 94.1548 |
Bank of Montreal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bank of Montreal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bank. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bank can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bank of Montreal. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bank of Montreal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bank of Montreal.
Bank of Montreal Implied Volatility | 34.67 |
Bank of Montreal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bank of Montreal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bank of Montreal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bank of Montreal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bank of Montreal's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bank of Montreal. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of Montreal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bank of Montreal after-hype prediction price | USD 93.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bank contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bank of Montreal will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.17% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Bank of Montreal trading at USD 93.02, that is roughly USD 2.02 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bank of Montreal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bank of Montreal options at the current volatility level of 34.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Bank |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank of Montreal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank of Montreal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank of Montreal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Montreal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Montreal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank of Montreal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank of Montreal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Montreal's historical news coverage. Bank of Montreal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.84 and 94.22, respectively. We have considered Bank of Montreal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank of Montreal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Montreal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank of Montreal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Montreal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Montreal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Montreal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.19 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
93.02 | 93.03 | 0.01 |
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Bank of Montreal Hype Timeline
On the 16th of April 2024 Bank of Montreal is traded for 93.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bank is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 93.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Montreal is about 2644.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.02. The company reported the last year's revenue of 33.05 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.38 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 29.02 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Bank of Montreal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bank of Montreal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Montreal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Montreal's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Montreal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Montreal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | (1.06) | 12 per month | 0.98 | (0.02) | 1.61 | (1.68) | 4.78 | |
| TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | (1.61) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.67 | (1.66) | 4.49 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | 0.70 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.35 | (1.68) | 4.60 | |
| C | Citigroup | 0.78 | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.08 | 2.28 | (1.87) | 7.90 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.81) | 11 per month | 1.13 | (0.01) | 1.60 | (1.59) | 5.82 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | 0.30 | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.05 | 2.07 | (2.06) | 6.40 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | 1.29 | 5 per month | 1.31 | 0.05 | 1.72 | (1.08) | 8.65 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | 0.77 | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.13 | 1.72 | (1.39) | 8.55 |
Bank of Montreal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bank of Montreal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bank of Montreal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank of Montreal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of Montreal based on analysis of Bank of Montreal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of Montreal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of Montreal's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0311 | 0.0364 | 0.0419 | 0.044 | Price To Sales Ratio | 160.26 | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.92 |
Story Coverage note for Bank of Montreal
The number of cover stories for Bank of Montreal depends on current market conditions and Bank of Montreal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Montreal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Montreal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank of Montreal Short Properties
Bank of Montreal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Montreal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of Montreal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Montreal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Montreal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 710.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.3 B |
Check out Bank of Montreal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Bank Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bank of Montreal guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis
When running Bank of Montreal's price analysis, check to measure Bank of Montreal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of Montreal is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of Montreal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of Montreal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of Montreal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of Montreal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bank of Montreal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of Montreal. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank of Montreal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.567 | Dividend Share 5.88 | Earnings Share 5.29 | Revenue Per Share 43.463 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.443 |
The market value of Bank of Montreal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank of Montreal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank of Montreal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank of Montreal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank of Montreal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of Montreal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of Montreal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of Montreal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.