Bjs Wholesale Club Stock Price Prediction

BJ Stock  USD 76.49  1.77  2.37%   
As of now, The value of RSI of BJs Wholesale's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BJs Wholesale, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
BJs Wholesale Club stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BJs Wholesale shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BJs Wholesale's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BJs Wholesale and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BJs Wholesale's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BJs Wholesale Club, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BJs Wholesale's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.144
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.86
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.98
Wall Street Target Price
83.18
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.06
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BJs Wholesale based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BJs stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BJs Wholesale over a specific investment horizon. Using BJs Wholesale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BJs Wholesale Club from the perspective of BJs Wholesale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BJs Wholesale using BJs Wholesale's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BJs using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BJs Wholesale's stock price.

BJs Wholesale Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in BJs Wholesale's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BJs. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BJs Wholesale stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long BJs Wholesale may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BJs Wholesale and may potentially protect profits, hedge BJs Wholesale with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
67.6671
Short Percent
0.0882
Short Ratio
8.75
Shares Short Prior Month
8.6 M
50 Day MA
70.1164

BJs Wholesale Club Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to BJs Wholesale's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BJs. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BJs can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BJs Wholesale Club. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BJs Wholesale's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BJs Wholesale.

BJs Wholesale Implied Volatility

    
  21.89  
BJs Wholesale's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BJs Wholesale Club stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BJs Wholesale's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BJs Wholesale stock will not fluctuate a lot when BJs Wholesale's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BJs Wholesale. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BJs Wholesale to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BJs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BJs Wholesale after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 76.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BJs contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BJs Wholesale Club will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.37% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With BJs Wholesale trading at USD 76.49, that is roughly USD 1.05 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BJs Wholesale's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BJs Wholesale Club options at the current volatility level of 21.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BJs Wholesale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.7368.6184.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.4176.2978.17
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.2878.3386.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.740.840.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BJs Wholesale. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BJs Wholesale's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BJs Wholesale's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BJs Wholesale Club.

BJs Wholesale After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BJs Wholesale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BJs Wholesale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BJs Wholesale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BJs Wholesale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BJs Wholesale's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BJs Wholesale's historical news coverage. BJs Wholesale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.36 and 78.12, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.49
76.24
After-hype Price
78.12
Upside
BJs Wholesale is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BJs Wholesale Club is based on 3 months time horizon.

BJs Wholesale Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Wholesale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Wholesale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Wholesale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.88
  0.25 
  0.10 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.49
76.24
0.33 
177.36  
Notes

BJs Wholesale Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 BJs Wholesale Club is listed for 76.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. BJs is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 76.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 177.36%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on BJs Wholesale is about 451.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.59. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.41. BJs Wholesale Club had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BJs Wholesale Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BJs Wholesale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BJs Wholesale's future price movements. Getting to know how BJs Wholesale rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BJs Wholesale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BJs Wholesale Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BJs Wholesale Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BJs Wholesale stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BJs Wholesale Club, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BJs Wholesale based on analysis of BJs Wholesale hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BJs Wholesale's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BJs Wholesale's related companies.
 2010 2020 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio14.9316.3955.13
Short Term Coverage Ratios0.761.50.96

Story Coverage note for BJs Wholesale

The number of cover stories for BJs Wholesale depends on current market conditions and BJs Wholesale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BJs Wholesale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BJs Wholesale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BJs Wholesale Short Properties

BJs Wholesale's future price predictability will typically decrease when BJs Wholesale's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BJs Wholesale Club often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BJs Wholesale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BJs Wholesale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding135.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36 M
When determining whether BJs Wholesale Club is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BJs Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bjs Wholesale Club Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bjs Wholesale Club Stock:
Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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When running BJs Wholesale's price analysis, check to measure BJs Wholesale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BJs Wholesale is operating at the current time. Most of BJs Wholesale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BJs Wholesale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BJs Wholesale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BJs Wholesale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BJs Wholesale's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BJs Wholesale. If investors know BJs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BJs Wholesale listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.144
Earnings Share
3.88
Revenue Per Share
150.087
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
Return On Assets
0.0781
The market value of BJs Wholesale Club is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BJs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BJs Wholesale's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BJs Wholesale's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BJs Wholesale's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BJs Wholesale's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BJs Wholesale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BJs Wholesale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BJs Wholesale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.