Biglari Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BH Stock | USD 201.36 1.17 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Biglari Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Biglari Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Biglari Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Biglari Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Biglari Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biglari Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Biglari Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.519 | Wall Street Target Price 500 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Biglari Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Biglari stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Biglari Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Biglari Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biglari Holdings from the perspective of Biglari Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Biglari Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Biglari Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Biglari because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Biglari Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 206.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Biglari |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biglari Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Biglari Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Biglari Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biglari Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Biglari Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Biglari Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Biglari Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biglari Holdings' historical news coverage. Biglari Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 180.17 and 208.62, respectively. We have considered Biglari Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Biglari Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biglari Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Biglari Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biglari Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biglari Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biglari Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.56 | 5.72 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
201.36 | 206.04 | 2.92 |
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Biglari Holdings Hype Timeline
As of April 25, 2024 Biglari Holdings is listed for 201.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 5.72, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Biglari is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 206.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 18.36%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Biglari Holdings is about 2694.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 201.32. The company reports 101.24 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from financial leverage. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Biglari Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Biglari Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biglari Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Biglari Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biglari Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMAX | Imax Corp | 0.36 | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.12 | 3.55 | (2.32) | 15.87 | |
| MCS | Marcus | (0.21) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.25 | (1.88) | 6.01 | |
| AMCX | AMC Networks | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.07 | (6.48) | 22.48 | |
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings | (0.64) | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.12 | 4.08 | (2.89) | 8.53 | |
| NWS | News Corp B | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.16 | (0.05) | 1.70 | (2.12) | 9.44 | |
| FWONA | Liberty Media | (1.11) | 8 per month | 1.33 | 0.03 | 2.43 | (2.52) | 10.08 | |
| WMG | Warner Music Group | (0.64) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.06 | (2.78) | 9.39 | |
| EDR | Endeavor Group Holdings | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.02 | 3.13 | (2.61) | 8.67 | |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | 1.22 | 8 per month | 1.77 | (0.04) | 2.34 | (1.96) | 12.53 | |
| MANU | Manchester United | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.46 | (5.64) | 22.12 |
Biglari Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Biglari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biglari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biglari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Biglari Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Biglari Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Biglari Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Biglari Holdings based on analysis of Biglari Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Biglari Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Biglari Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 6.5E-5 | 6.2E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.65 | 1.18 |
Story Coverage note for Biglari Holdings
The number of cover stories for Biglari Holdings depends on current market conditions and Biglari Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biglari Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biglari Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Biglari Holdings Short Properties
Biglari Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Biglari Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Biglari Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Biglari Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biglari Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.9 M |
Check out Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Biglari Stock please use our How to Invest in Biglari Holdings guide.Note that the Biglari Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Biglari Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Biglari Stock analysis
When running Biglari Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Biglari Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biglari Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Biglari Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biglari Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biglari Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Biglari Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biglari Holdings. If investors know Biglari will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Biglari Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.519 | Earnings Share 37.9 | Revenue Per Share 1.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets 0.0293 |
The market value of Biglari Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Biglari that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Biglari Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Biglari Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Biglari Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Biglari Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Biglari Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Biglari Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Biglari Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.