Axos Financial Stock Price Prediction
| AX Stock | USD 51.51 1.21 2.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Axos Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Axos Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Axos Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Axos Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Axos Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axos Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Axos Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.941 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.44 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.47 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.96 | Wall Street Target Price 68.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Axos Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Axos stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Axos Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Axos Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axos Financial from the perspective of Axos Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Axos Financial using Axos Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Axos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Axos Financial's stock price.
Axos Financial Implied Volatility | 51.16 |
Axos Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axos Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axos Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axos Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axos Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Axos Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axos Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Axos Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 51.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Axos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Axos Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.2% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Axos Financial trading at USD 51.51, that is roughly USD 1.65 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Axos Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Axos Financial options at the current volatility level of 51.16%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Axos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axos Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Axos Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axos Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axos Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axos Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axos Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axos Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axos Financial's historical news coverage. Axos Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.65 and 53.49, respectively. We have considered Axos Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axos Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axos Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axos Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axos Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axos Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axos Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.92 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 13 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.51 | 51.57 | 0.12 |
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Axos Financial Hype Timeline
As of April 23, 2024 Axos Financial is listed for 51.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Axos is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Axos Financial is about 264.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.58. The company generated the yearly revenue of 890.18 M. Reported Net Income was 307.17 M with gross profit of 702.02 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Axos Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Axos Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axos Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axos Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Axos Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axos Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.45 | (1.85) | 9.11 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.92 | (3.87) | 11.57 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.12 | (1.31) | 3.79 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | 0.31 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.90 | (3.41) | 15.26 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.08 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.38 | (3.27) | 9.67 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 4.15 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 3.23 | (2.71) | 33.39 |
Axos Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Axos Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Axos Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axos Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axos Financial based on analysis of Axos Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axos Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axos Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0462 | 0.0416 | 0.0436 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.03 | 3.04 | 2.89 |
Story Coverage note for Axos Financial
The number of cover stories for Axos Financial depends on current market conditions and Axos Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axos Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axos Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Axos Financial Short Properties
Axos Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axos Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axos Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axos Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axos Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Check out Axos Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Axos Stock please use our How to Invest in Axos Financial guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Axos Stock analysis
When running Axos Financial's price analysis, check to measure Axos Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axos Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Axos Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axos Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axos Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axos Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Axos Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axos Financial. If investors know Axos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axos Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.941 | Earnings Share 6.74 | Revenue Per Share 15.998 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 | Return On Assets 0.0199 |
The market value of Axos Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axos Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axos Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axos Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axos Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axos Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axos Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axos Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.