Aptiv Plc Stock Price Prediction

APTV Stock  USD 79.65  1.01  1.28%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Aptiv PLC's share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aptiv PLC, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

36

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Aptiv PLC stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Aptiv PLC shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Aptiv PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aptiv PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aptiv PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aptiv PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Aptiv PLC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.744
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.19
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.76
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.2
Wall Street Target Price
104.41
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Aptiv PLC based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Aptiv stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Aptiv PLC over a specific investment horizon. Using Aptiv PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aptiv PLC from the perspective of Aptiv PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aptiv PLC using Aptiv PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aptiv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aptiv PLC's stock price.

Aptiv PLC Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Aptiv PLC's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Aptiv. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Aptiv PLC stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Aptiv PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aptiv PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aptiv PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
90.9931
Short Percent
0.0257
Short Ratio
1.96
Shares Short Prior Month
5.2 M
50 Day MA
80.0946

Aptiv PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Aptiv PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aptiv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aptiv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aptiv PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aptiv PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aptiv PLC.

Aptiv PLC Implied Volatility

    
  30.96  
Aptiv PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aptiv PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aptiv PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aptiv PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aptiv PLC's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Aptiv PLC. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aptiv PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aptiv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aptiv PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aptiv contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aptiv PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.93% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Aptiv PLC trading at USD 79.65, that is roughly USD 1.54 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aptiv PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aptiv PLC options at the current volatility level of 30.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Aptiv PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Aptiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Aptiv PLC guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptiv PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.7898.38100.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.8875.9177.94
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
117.20128.79142.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.911.371.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aptiv PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aptiv PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aptiv PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aptiv PLC.

Aptiv PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aptiv PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aptiv PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aptiv PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aptiv PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aptiv PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aptiv PLC's historical news coverage. Aptiv PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.65 and 80.71, respectively. We have considered Aptiv PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
79.65
78.68
After-hype Price
80.71
Upside
Aptiv PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aptiv PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aptiv PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aptiv PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aptiv PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aptiv PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.03
  0.04 
  0.05 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
79.65
78.68
0.05 
966.67  
Notes

Aptiv PLC Hype Timeline

Aptiv PLC is presently traded for 79.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Aptiv is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Aptiv PLC is about 774.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.70. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.05 B. Net Income was 2.97 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Aptiv PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Aptiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Aptiv PLC guide.

Aptiv PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aptiv PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aptiv PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Aptiv PLC rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aptiv PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Aptiv PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aptiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aptiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aptiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aptiv PLC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aptiv PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aptiv PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aptiv PLC based on analysis of Aptiv PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aptiv PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aptiv PLC's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio2.861.441.04
Price Earnings Ratio55.1529.0313.87

Story Coverage note for Aptiv PLC

The number of cover stories for Aptiv PLC depends on current market conditions and Aptiv PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aptiv PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aptiv PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Aptiv PLC Short Properties

Aptiv PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aptiv PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aptiv PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aptiv PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aptiv PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding282.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B
When determining whether Aptiv PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aptiv PLC's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aptiv PLC's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aptiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aptiv PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Aptiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Aptiv PLC guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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Is Aptiv PLC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aptiv PLC. If investors know Aptiv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aptiv PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.744
Earnings Share
10.39
Revenue Per Share
72.407
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Return On Assets
0.0497
The market value of Aptiv PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aptiv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aptiv PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aptiv PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aptiv PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aptiv PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptiv PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptiv PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptiv PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.