American High Income Municipal Fund Volatility

AMHIX Fund  USD 15.08  0.01  0.07%   
We consider American High-income very steady. American High-income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for American High Income Municipal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm American High-income's mean deviation of 0.1402, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0536 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0232%. Key indicators related to American High-income's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
American High-income Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of American daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use American's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of American High-income volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as American High-income can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of American High-income at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase American stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of American High-income's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with American Mutual Fund

  0.76USG USCF Gold Strategy Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.86AMECX Income FundPairCorr
  0.81REJTX American Funds 2015PairCorr
  0.89RNEBX New World FundPairCorr
  0.88AMFCX American Mutual FundPairCorr
  0.87AMFFX American Mutual FundPairCorr
  0.87RNCCX American Funds IncomePairCorr
  0.85REITX American Funds 2050PairCorr

American High-income Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

American High-income's beta coefficient measures the volatility of American mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents American mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, American High-income's beta of 0.1 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk American High-income mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. American High Income Municipal exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.36 and kurtosis of 2.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American High-income's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American High-income's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze American High-income Demand Trend
Check current 90 days American High-income correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

American Beta

    
  0.1  
American standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.22  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by American High-income's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of American High-income's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in american mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in American High-income.

American High-income Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which American High-income fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with American High-income's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of American High-income's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of American High-income's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures American High-income's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict American High-income's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for American High-income's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on American High-income's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. American High-income Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

American High-income Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon American High-income has a beta of 0.1048 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, American High-income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American High Income Municipal will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American High-income or American Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American High-income's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
American High Income Municipal has an alpha of 0.0036, implying that it can generate a 0.0036 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
American High-income's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how american mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an American High-income Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

American High-income Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of American High-income is 939.09. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.05 and standard deviation of 0.22. The mean deviation of American High Income Municipal is currently at 0.15. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.51

American High-income Mutual Fund Return Volatility

American High-income historical daily return volatility represents how much of American High-income fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.2181% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5731% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About American High-income Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of American High-income or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of American High-income may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to American's beta indicator, it measures the risk of American High-income and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of American High-income fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its assets in, or derive at least 80 percent of its income from, securities that are exempt from regular federal income tax and may subject the investors to alternative minimum tax. It may invest, without limitation, in securities that may subject the investors to federal alternative minimum tax. The fund invests at least 50 percent of its portfolio in debt securities rated BBB or below or Baa1 or below, or unrated but determined by the funds investment adviser to be of equivalent quality.
American High-income's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on American Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much American High-income's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize American High-income's volatility to invest better

Higher American High-income's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of American High-income fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. American High-income fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of American High-income investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in American High-income's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of American High-income's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

American High-income Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.57 and is 2.59 times more volatile than American High Income Municipal. 1 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than American High-income. You can use American High Income Municipal to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of American High-income to be traded at $15.83 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between AMERICAN HIGH-INCOME MUNICIPAL and NYA is 0.28 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AMERICAN HIGH-INCOME MUNICIPAL and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

American High-income Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of American High-income's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American High-income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of American High-income mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

American High-income Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against American High-income as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. American High-income's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, American High-income's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to American High Income Municipal.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American High Income Municipal. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running American High-income's price analysis, check to measure American High-income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American High-income is operating at the current time. Most of American High-income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American High-income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American High-income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American High-income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American High-income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American High-income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American High-income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.