Ambow Education Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AMBO -- USA Stock  

USD 4.08  0.0018  0.0441%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ambow Education Holding Ltd American Depository Shares each representing two Class A which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ambow Education hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ambow Education Holding Ltd American Depository Shares each representing two Class A from the prospective of Ambow Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ambow Education over a specific investment horizon. Check also Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ambow Education After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Ambow Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 16, 2019
4.08
Current Value
4.08
After-hype Price
16.17
Upside
Ambow Education is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambow Education Hold is based on 2 months time horizon.

Ambow Education Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.40% 4.03% 0.00%  0.24% 1 Events / Month8 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.084.080.00%
503,750% 

Ambow Education Hype Timeline

Ambow Education Hold is presently traded for4.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.24. Ambow Education Holding Ltd American Depository Shares each representing two Class A is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 503750.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at -0.4%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Ambow Education is about 661.93%%. The volatility of related hype on Ambow Education is about 661.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.32. The book value of the company was presently reported as 1.61. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ambow Education Hold had a split on 2015-09-04. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ambow Education Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
China Distance Education Holdings Limited 0.05 6 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.54 (2.36)  6.08 
Franklin Covey Co 0.10 9 per month 1.32  0.10  2.57 (2.39)  5.99 
Four Seasons Education(0.09) 5 per month 2.17  0.08  5.42 (4.57)  13.16 
China Online Education Group 0.0265 9 per month 2.53  0.12  5.39 (4.25)  14.68 
New Oriental Education Technology Group 0.08 7 per month 2.52  0.0198  2.74 (3.47)  9.64 
Graham Holdings Company 5.72 6 per month 1.16  0.0382  1.79 (1.65)  4.94 
GP Strategies Corporation 0.18 8 per month 1.97  0.15  4.30 (3.76)  25.25 
Hailiang Education Group 0.33 2 per month 1.51  0.28  4.48 (3.23)  17.80 
K12(0.30) 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.29 (2.61)  13.85 
Higher One Holdings(0.01) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0425)  1.74 (2.20)  12.15 

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Check also Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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