Ambow Education Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AMBO -- USA Stock  

USD 2.02  0.02  1.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ambow Education Holding Ltd Am which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ambow Education hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ambow Education Holding Ltd Am from the prospective of Ambow Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ambow Education over a specific investment horizon. Check also Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ambow Education After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Ambow Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 17, 2019
2.02
Current Value
1.71
After-hype Price
21.81
Upside
Ambow Education is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambow Education Hold is based on 2 months time horizon.

Ambow Education Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.86% 6.70% 0.31%  0.50% 1 Events / Month9 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.021.7115.35%
1,861% 

Ambow Education Hype Timeline

Ambow Education Hold is presently traded for2.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Ambow Education Holding Ltd Am is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1861.11%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -15.35% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.86%. The volatility of related hype on Ambow Education is about 1146.97% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.52. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ambow Education Hold had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had a split on 2015-09-04. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ambow Education Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hailiang Education Group(0.60) 5 per month 2.68  0.12  2.49 (2.49)  10.11 
New Oriental Education Techno 2.45 5 per month 1.83  0.15  3.16 (3.78)  13.20 
Four Seasons Education 0.09 1 per month 2.74  0.06  5.52 (3.37)  18.44 
K12 0.62 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.83 (3.24)  7.99 
OneSmart International Educatio 0.06 3 per month 0.00  0.0467  0.62 (1.32)  8.00 
China Distance Education Holdin(0.05) 4 per month 0.00 (0.26)  2.71 (5.44)  9.55 
Graham Holdings Company 4.58 8 per month 1.22  0.0412  1.66 (1.85)  5.01 
GP Strategies Corporation(0.40) 8 per month 0.00 (0.10)  3.05 (4.99)  12.40 
Franklin Covey Company(0.23) 7 per month 1.48  0.26  2.95 (2.49)  9.34 
China Online Education Group(0.68) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0372)  5.16 (4.42)  13.85 

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