Ambow Education Holding Stock Price Prediction

AMBO Stock  USD 1.72  0.14  8.86%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ambow Education's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ambow Education, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ambow Education Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ambow Education shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ambow Education's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ambow Education and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ambow Education's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ambow Education Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ambow Education's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.361
Wall Street Target Price
55.39
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ambow Education based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ambow stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ambow Education over a specific investment horizon. Using Ambow Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambow Education Holding from the perspective of Ambow Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ambow Education. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ambow Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ambow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ambow Education after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ambow Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.5218.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.0419.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.391.942.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ambow Education. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ambow Education's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ambow Education's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ambow Education Holding.

Ambow Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ambow Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ambow Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ambow Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ambow Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ambow Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ambow Education's historical news coverage. Ambow Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 19.55, respectively. We have considered Ambow Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.72
2.21
After-hype Price
19.55
Upside
Ambow Education is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambow Education Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ambow Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ambow Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ambow Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ambow Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.24 
17.34
  0.63 
  0.15 
4 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.72
2.21
39.87 
3,400  
Notes

Ambow Education Hype Timeline

Ambow Education Holding is presently traded for 1.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.63, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Ambow is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 39.87%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.24%. The volatility of related hype on Ambow Education is about 13951.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.87. The company currently holds 75.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.45, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambow Education Holding has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ambow Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambow Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambow Education Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambow Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ambow Education Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ambow Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ambow Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Ambow Education rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ambow Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ambow Education Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ambow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ambow Education Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ambow Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ambow Education Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ambow Education based on analysis of Ambow Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ambow Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ambow Education's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Of Sales Outstanding86.448.7856.153.29
Days Of Inventory Outstanding158.85106.68122.68155.56

Story Coverage note for Ambow Education

The number of cover stories for Ambow Education depends on current market conditions and Ambow Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ambow Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ambow Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ambow Education Short Properties

Ambow Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ambow Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ambow Education Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ambow Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ambow Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.8 M
When determining whether Ambow Education Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ambow Education's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ambow Education Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ambow Education Holding Stock:
Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Ambow Education Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ambow Education's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Complementary Tools for Ambow Stock analysis

When running Ambow Education's price analysis, check to measure Ambow Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambow Education is operating at the current time. Most of Ambow Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambow Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambow Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambow Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Is Ambow Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambow Education. If investors know Ambow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambow Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.361
Earnings Share
(2.54)
Revenue Per Share
3.895
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Ambow Education Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambow Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambow Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambow Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambow Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambow Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambow Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambow Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.