Autoliv Stock Price Prediction
| ALV Stock | USD 114.83 0.47 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Autoliv stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Autoliv shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Autoliv's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Autoliv and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Autoliv's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Autoliv, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Autoliv's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.511 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.93 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.9 | Wall Street Target Price 126.27 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Autoliv based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Autoliv stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Autoliv over a specific investment horizon. Using Autoliv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Autoliv from the perspective of Autoliv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Autoliv using Autoliv's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Autoliv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Autoliv's stock price.
Autoliv Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Autoliv's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Autoliv. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Autoliv stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Autoliv may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Autoliv and may potentially protect profits, hedge Autoliv with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 103.6205 | Short Percent 0.0222 | Short Ratio 3.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 116.716 |
Autoliv Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Autoliv's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Autoliv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Autoliv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Autoliv. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Autoliv's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Autoliv.
Autoliv Implied Volatility | 33.58 |
Autoliv's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Autoliv stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Autoliv's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Autoliv stock will not fluctuate a lot when Autoliv's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Autoliv. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Autoliv to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Autoliv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Autoliv after-hype prediction price | USD 114.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Autoliv contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Autoliv will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.1% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Autoliv trading at USD 114.83, that is roughly USD 2.41 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Autoliv's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Autoliv options at the current volatility level of 33.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Autoliv |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Autoliv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Autoliv After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Autoliv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Autoliv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Autoliv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Autoliv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Autoliv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Autoliv's historical news coverage. Autoliv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.26 and 115.90, respectively. We have considered Autoliv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Autoliv is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Autoliv is based on 3 months time horizon.
Autoliv Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Autoliv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Autoliv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Autoliv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.32 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
114.83 | 114.58 | 0.22 |
|
Autoliv Hype Timeline
On the 20th of April Autoliv is traded for 114.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Autoliv is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 114.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 89.8%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Autoliv is about 2693.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.84. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Autoliv was presently reported as 30.94. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85. Autoliv recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of March 2024. The firm had 1388:1000 split on the 2nd of July 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Autoliv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Autoliv Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Autoliv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Autoliv's future price movements. Getting to know how Autoliv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Autoliv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MVSTW | Microvast Holdings | (0) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 21.00 | (14.18) | 93.20 | |
| EVGOW | EVgo Equity Warrants | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 13.64 | (10.53) | 36.67 | |
| XOS | Xos Inc | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.80 | (7.52) | 40.70 | |
| LIDRW | AEye Inc | 0.00 | 6 per month | 16.97 | 0.12 | 66.67 | (33.33) | 165.00 |
Autoliv Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Autoliv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Autoliv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Autoliv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Autoliv Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Autoliv stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Autoliv, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Autoliv based on analysis of Autoliv hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Autoliv's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Autoliv's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0182 | 0.0336 | 0.024 | 0.0325 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.1 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 0.5 |
Story Coverage note for Autoliv
The number of cover stories for Autoliv depends on current market conditions and Autoliv's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Autoliv is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Autoliv's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Autoliv Short Properties
Autoliv's future price predictability will typically decrease when Autoliv's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Autoliv often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Autoliv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autoliv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 498 M |
Check out Autoliv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Autoliv Stock please use our How to Invest in Autoliv guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Autoliv Stock analysis
When running Autoliv's price analysis, check to measure Autoliv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autoliv is operating at the current time. Most of Autoliv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autoliv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autoliv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autoliv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like |
Is Autoliv's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autoliv. If investors know Autoliv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Autoliv listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.511 | Dividend Share 2.66 | Earnings Share 5.72 | Revenue Per Share 123.235 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.178 |
The market value of Autoliv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Autoliv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Autoliv's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Autoliv's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Autoliv's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Autoliv's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Autoliv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Autoliv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Autoliv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.