Akamai Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| AKAM Stock | USD 102.19 0.43 0.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Akamai Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Akamai Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Akamai Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Akamai Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Akamai Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Akamai Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Akamai Technologies' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.257 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.73 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.33 | Wall Street Target Price 129.25 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Akamai Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Akamai stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Akamai Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using Akamai Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Akamai Technologies from the perspective of Akamai Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Akamai Technologies using Akamai Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Akamai using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Akamai Technologies' stock price.
Akamai Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Akamai Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Akamai. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Akamai Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Akamai Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Akamai Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Akamai Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 108.6103 | Short Percent 0.0604 | Short Ratio 4.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.5 M | 50 Day MA 108.2732 |
Akamai Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Akamai Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Akamai. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Akamai can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Akamai Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Akamai Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Akamai Technologies.
Akamai Technologies Implied Volatility | 38.27 |
Akamai Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Akamai Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Akamai Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Akamai Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Akamai Technologies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Akamai Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Akamai Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Akamai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Akamai Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 102.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Akamai contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Akamai Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.39% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Akamai Technologies trading at USD 102.19, that is roughly USD 2.44 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Akamai Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Akamai Technologies options at the current volatility level of 38.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Akamai |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akamai Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Akamai Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Akamai Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Akamai Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Akamai Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Akamai Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Akamai Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Akamai Technologies' historical news coverage. Akamai Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.87 and 103.93, respectively. We have considered Akamai Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Akamai Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Akamai Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Akamai Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Akamai Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Akamai Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Akamai Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.53 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.19 | 102.40 | 0.21 |
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Akamai Technologies Hype Timeline
Akamai Technologies is presently traded for 102.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Akamai is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 102.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Akamai Technologies is about 5100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.18. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.81 B. Net Income was 547.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.24 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Akamai Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Akamai Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Akamai Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Akamai Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Akamai Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Akamai Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLT | Fleetcor Technologies | (3.04) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 2.23 | (1.57) | 11.43 | |
| CHKP | Check Point Software | 0.57 | 11 per month | 1.04 | (0.06) | 1.32 | (1.50) | 5.19 | |
| VRSN | VeriSign | 0.53 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.12 | (1.56) | 3.64 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | 0.41 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.28 | (2.76) | 11.98 | |
| FFIV | F5 Networks | 2.62 | 11 per month | 1.24 | (0.07) | 1.83 | (2.13) | 5.17 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | 0.42 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.09 | 2.58 | (2.15) | 6.66 | |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software | 0.35 | 10 per month | 1.88 | (0.01) | 2.32 | (3.42) | 12.04 | |
| DOX | Amdocs | (0.55) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.45 | (1.87) | 5.66 | |
| TENB | Tenable Holdings | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.50 | (2.91) | 12.07 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | 1.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.16 | (4.75) | 13.45 | |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce | (2.74) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.43 | (4.44) | 21.14 |
Akamai Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Akamai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Akamai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Akamai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Akamai Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Akamai Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Akamai Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Akamai Technologies based on analysis of Akamai Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Akamai Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Akamai Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 71.28 | 68.55 | 69.35 | 51.24 | PTB Ratio | 4.2 | 3.08 | 3.93 | 3.73 |
Story Coverage note for Akamai Technologies
The number of cover stories for Akamai Technologies depends on current market conditions and Akamai Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Akamai Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Akamai Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Akamai Technologies Short Properties
Akamai Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Akamai Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Akamai Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Akamai Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akamai Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 155.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 864.4 M |
Check out Akamai Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Akamai Stock, please use our How to Invest in Akamai Technologies guide.Note that the Akamai Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Akamai Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Akamai Stock analysis
When running Akamai Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Akamai Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akamai Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Akamai Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akamai Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akamai Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akamai Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Akamai Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akamai Technologies. If investors know Akamai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akamai Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.257 | Earnings Share 3.52 | Revenue Per Share 24.995 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.072 | Return On Assets 0.0486 |
The market value of Akamai Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akamai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akamai Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akamai Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akamai Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akamai Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akamai Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akamai Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akamai Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.