Correlation Between AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between AGNC Investment Corp and ARMOUR Residential REIT, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AGNC Investment with a short position of ARMOUR Residential. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential.

Diversification Opportunities for AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between AGNC and ARMOUR is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AGNC Investment Corp and ARMOUR Residential REIT in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT and AGNC Investment is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AGNC Investment Corp are associated (or correlated) with ARMOUR Residential. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ARMOUR Residential REIT has no effect on the direction of AGNC Investment i.e., AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential

Given the investment horizon of 90 days AGNC Investment is expected to generate 1.15 times less return on investment than ARMOUR Residential. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, AGNC Investment Corp is 1.57 times less risky than ARMOUR Residential. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ARMOUR Residential REIT is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,886  in ARMOUR Residential REIT on December 29, 2023 and sell it today you would earn a total of  75.00  from holding ARMOUR Residential REIT or generate 3.98% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

AGNC Investment Corp  vs.  ARMOUR Residential REIT

 Performance 
       Timeline  
AGNC Investment Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Very Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AGNC Investment Corp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, AGNC Investment is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
ARMOUR Residential REIT 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARMOUR Residential REIT are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively abnormal basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2024.

AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential

The main advantage of trading using opposite AGNC Investment and ARMOUR Residential positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AGNC Investment position performs unexpectedly, ARMOUR Residential can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARMOUR Residential will offset losses from the drop in ARMOUR Residential's long position.
The idea behind AGNC Investment Corp and ARMOUR Residential REIT pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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