American Equity Investment Stock Price Prediction
| AEL Stock | USD 55.12 0.02 0.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
American Equity Inve stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Equity shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Equity's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Equity and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Equity's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Equity Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting American Equity's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.74 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.05 | Wall Street Target Price 55 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Equity based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Equity over a specific investment horizon. Using American Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Equity Investment from the perspective of American Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Equity using American Equity's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Equity's stock price.
American Equity Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
American Equity's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Equity Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Equity's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Equity stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Equity's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Equity. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Equity to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Equity after-hype prediction price | USD 55.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Equity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Equity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Equity's historical news coverage. American Equity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.91 and 55.45, respectively. We have considered American Equity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Equity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Equity Inve is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Equity Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
55.12 | 55.18 | 0.00 |
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American Equity Hype Timeline
On the 15th of April 2024 American Equity Inve is traded for 55.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Equity is about 188.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.12. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Equity Inve has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of April 2024. The firm had 3:1 split on the 30th of June 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Equity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Equity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how American Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | (0.51) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.37 | (1.62) | 11.00 | |
| JXN | Jackson Financial | 0.08 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.18 | 3.44 | (2.65) | 8.48 | |
| BHFAP | Brighthouse Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.01) | 1.42 | (2.22) | 5.29 |
American Equity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Equity Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Equity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Equity Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Equity based on analysis of American Equity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Equity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Equity's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0206 | 0.018 | 0.009848 | 0.006682 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.62 | 2.75 |
Story Coverage note for American Equity
The number of cover stories for American Equity depends on current market conditions and American Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Equity Short Properties
American Equity's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Equity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Equity Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.6 B |
Check out American Equity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Equity Inve information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Equity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Equity's price analysis, check to measure American Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Equity is operating at the current time. Most of American Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Equity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Equity. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Equity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | Earnings Share 2.06 | Revenue Per Share 35.569 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.614 | Return On Assets 0.0027 |
The market value of American Equity Inve is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Equity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Equity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Equity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Equity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.