Almaden Minerals Stock Price Prediction

AAU Stock  USD 0.14  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Almaden Minerals' share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Almaden Minerals, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Almaden Minerals stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Almaden Minerals shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Almaden Minerals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Almaden Minerals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Almaden Minerals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Almaden Minerals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Almaden Minerals' stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
0.2
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Almaden Minerals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Almaden stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Almaden Minerals over a specific investment horizon. Using Almaden Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Almaden Minerals from the perspective of Almaden Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Almaden Minerals using Almaden Minerals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Almaden using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Almaden Minerals' stock price.

Almaden Minerals Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Almaden Minerals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Almaden Minerals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Almaden Minerals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Almaden Minerals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Almaden Minerals' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Almaden Minerals. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Almaden Minerals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Almaden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Almaden Minerals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Almaden Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Almaden Stock please use our How to Invest in Almaden Minerals guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Almaden Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.121.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.141.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Almaden Minerals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Almaden Minerals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Almaden Minerals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Almaden Minerals.

Almaden Minerals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Almaden Minerals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Almaden Minerals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Almaden Minerals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Almaden Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Almaden Minerals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Almaden Minerals' historical news coverage. Almaden Minerals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 1.48, respectively. We have considered Almaden Minerals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.14
0.14
After-hype Price
1.48
Upside
Almaden Minerals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Almaden Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Almaden Minerals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Almaden Minerals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Almaden Minerals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Almaden Minerals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.14
0.14
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Almaden Minerals Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March Almaden Minerals is traded for 0.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Almaden is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Almaden Minerals is about 712.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.14. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Almaden Minerals recorded a loss per share of 0.07. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the September 26, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Almaden Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Almaden Stock please use our How to Invest in Almaden Minerals guide.

Almaden Minerals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Almaden Minerals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Almaden Minerals' future price movements. Getting to know how Almaden Minerals rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Almaden Minerals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AUAngloGold Ashanti Plc(0.34)7 per month 2.14  0.06  4.93 (3.87) 12.47 
NGNovaGold Resources 0.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.18 (6.32) 12.85 
OROsisko Gold Ro(0.14)9 per month 1.51  0.03  3.50 (2.62) 9.28 
SASeabridge Gold 1.25 10 per month 2.19  0.06  5.54 (4.46) 23.72 
HYMCLHycroft Mining Holding 0.01 3 per month 13.91  0.02  23.33 (26.19) 106.82 
HYMCWHycroft Mining Holding 0.0001 2 per month 14.52  0  25.18 (22.38) 109.42 
NFGCNew Found GoldCorp(0.06)5 per month 2.07 (0.01) 5.01 (3.21) 10.89 
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines 0.70 12 per month 1.79  0.01  3.11 (3.02) 7.06 

Almaden Minerals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Almaden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Almaden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Almaden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Almaden Minerals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Almaden Minerals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Almaden Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Almaden Minerals based on analysis of Almaden Minerals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Almaden Minerals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Almaden Minerals's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Current Ratio19.0318.46.085.77
Price To Book Ratio0.640.653.763.7

Story Coverage note for Almaden Minerals

The number of cover stories for Almaden Minerals depends on current market conditions and Almaden Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Almaden Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Almaden Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Almaden Minerals Short Properties

Almaden Minerals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Almaden Minerals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Almaden Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Almaden Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Almaden Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding137.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.2 M
When determining whether Almaden Minerals is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Almaden Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Almaden Minerals Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Almaden Minerals Stock:
Check out Almaden Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Almaden Stock please use our How to Invest in Almaden Minerals guide.
Note that the Almaden Minerals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Almaden Minerals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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Is Almaden Minerals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Almaden Minerals. If investors know Almaden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Almaden Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.94)
Return On Equity
(1.66)
The market value of Almaden Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Almaden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Almaden Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Almaden Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Almaden Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Almaden Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Almaden Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Almaden Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Almaden Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.