Apple Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Apple headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple Inc from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
January 19, 2017
119.99
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
118.45
120.01
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
121.57
Upside
Upside upside
Apple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Apple Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14% 0.52% 0.02%  0.00% 3 Events / Month2 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
119.99120.010.02%
305.88% 

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple Inc is presently traded for 119.99 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Apple Inc is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 120.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 305.88%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 2600.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 119.99. The company reported previous year revenue of 215.64 B. Net Income was 45.69 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 84.26 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Dencity
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Apple Inc 0.17 3 per month 0.00  0.25 (0.48)  0.92 (0.66)  1.53 
Sony Corporation 0.03 2 per month 0.32  0.23 (1.25)  2.46 (0.87)  3.60 
Koninklijke Philips NV(0.03) 2 per month 0.79  0.10 (0.64)  0.99 (1.31)  2.66 
Harman International Industries Incorporated 0.04 2 per month 0.12 (0.19) (0.12)  0.31 (0.23)  0.65 
PHIHONG TECHNOLOGY TWD10 0.00 0 per month 2.44  0.03 (3.77)  6.33 (2.42)  16.38 
Universal Electronics Inc 0.35 2 per month 0.00 (0.12)  0.00  2.33 (2.58)  4.16 
Eastman Kodak Co 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.24)  0.00  1.89 (3.68)  6.91 
Energous Corporation(0.40) 2 per month 2.68  0.07 (3.22)  6.15 (4.73)  15.72