Apple Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Apple headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple Inc from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
  Expected price to next headline  
March 27, 2017
140.88
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
138.65
140.81
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
142.97
Upside
Upside upside
Apple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Apple Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 0.72% 0.03%  0.01% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
140.88140.810.08%
342.86% 

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple Inc is presently traded for 140.88 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Apple Inc is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 140.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 342.86%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 1350.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 140.89. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. Book value of Apple Inc was presently as 23.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. Apple Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.31. This company last dividend was issued on 2017-02-09. The firm had 7:1 split on June 9, 2014. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis