Apple Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Apple headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple Inc from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
April 28, 2017
143.79
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
142.11
143.79
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
145.47
Upside
Upside upside
Apple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Apple Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.01% 0.56% 0.01%  0.00% 2 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
143.79143.790.00%
88.89% 

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple Inc is presently traded for 143.79 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Apple Inc is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 88.89%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Apple is about 114.29%%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 114.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 143.79. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. Book value of Apple Inc was presently as 23.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. Apple Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.31. This company last dividend was issued on 2017-02-09. The firm had 7:1 split on June 9, 2014. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis