American Airlines Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring American Airlines headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Airlines Group Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Airlines hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Airlines Group Inc from the prospective of American Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Airlines over a specific investment horizon. Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Airlines estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
March 1, 2017
47.43
Current Value
Downside upside
47.45
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
51.17
Upside
Upside upside
American Airlines is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Airlines Group is based on 1 month time horizon.

American Airlines Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16% 1.24% 0.00%  0.04% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.4347.450.00%
0.00% 

American Airlines Hype Timeline

On 01 of March American Airlines Group Inc is traded for  47.43 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. American Airlines Group Inc is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Airlines is about 537.18%%. The volatility of related hype on American Airlines is about 537.18% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 47.39. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.65. American Airlines Group Inc last dividend was issued on 2017-02-09. This company had 0:1 split on December 9, 2013. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Airlines Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Dencity
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hawaiian Holdings Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.38)  0.00  1.30 (1.47)  3.45 
JetBlue Airways Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  0.00  2.28 (3.28)  6.87 
American Airlines Group Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20)  0.00  2.50 (4.37)  5.32 
Alaska Air Group Inc(1.39) 1 per month 0.83 (0.0008) (1.07)  1.26 (1.42)  5.04 
Delta Air Lines Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09)  0.00  2.56 (2.36)  4.08 
Southwest Airlines Co 0.00 0 per month 0.60  0.19 (1.39)  3.02 (1.66)  5.24