Correlation Between Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Alcoa Corp with a short position of Century Aluminum. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum.

Diversification Opportunities for Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Alcoa and Century is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Century Aluminum and Alcoa Corp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Alcoa Corp are associated (or correlated) with Century Aluminum. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Century Aluminum has no effect on the direction of Alcoa Corp i.e., Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Alcoa Corp is expected to under-perform the Century Aluminum. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Alcoa Corp is 1.35 times less risky than Century Aluminum. The stock trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Century Aluminum is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,457  in Century Aluminum on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  298.00  from holding Century Aluminum or generate 20.45% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Alcoa Corp  vs.  Century Aluminum

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Alcoa Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alcoa Corp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Alcoa Corp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Century Aluminum 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Century Aluminum are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Century Aluminum showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum

The main advantage of trading using opposite Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, Century Aluminum can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Century Aluminum will offset losses from the drop in Century Aluminum's long position.
The idea behind Alcoa Corp and Century Aluminum pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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