Tokyo Electron Stock Market Value

TOELF Stock  USD 222.13  8.00  3.74%   
Tokyo Electron's market value is the price at which a share of Tokyo Electron trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tokyo Electron investors about its performance. Tokyo Electron is trading at 222.13 as of the 25th of April 2024. This is a 3.74 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 220.86.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tokyo Electron and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tokyo Electron over a given investment horizon. Check out Tokyo Electron Correlation, Tokyo Electron Volatility and Tokyo Electron Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tokyo Electron.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tokyo Electron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tokyo Electron is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tokyo Electron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tokyo Electron 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tokyo Electron's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tokyo Electron.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tokyo Electron on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tokyo Electron or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tokyo Electron over 30 days. Tokyo Electron is related to or competes with Loandepot, Hertz Global, Yuexiu Transport, China Aircraft, Air Lease, Procter Gamble, and Vestis. Tokyo Electron Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor and flat panel d... More

Tokyo Electron Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tokyo Electron's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tokyo Electron upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tokyo Electron Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tokyo Electron's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tokyo Electron's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tokyo Electron historical prices to predict the future Tokyo Electron's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokyo Electron's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
219.01222.13225.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.44188.56244.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tokyo Electron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tokyo Electron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tokyo Electron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tokyo Electron.

Tokyo Electron Backtested Returns

Tokyo Electron appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Tokyo Electron owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the firm had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Tokyo Electron, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tokyo Electron's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0608, semi deviation of 2.58, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1182.09 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tokyo Electron holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 1.24, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tokyo Electron will likely underperform. Please check Tokyo Electron's treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Tokyo Electron's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

Tokyo Electron has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tokyo Electron time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tokyo Electron price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Tokyo Electron price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance286.41

Tokyo Electron lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tokyo Electron pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tokyo Electron's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tokyo Electron returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tokyo Electron has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tokyo Electron regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tokyo Electron pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tokyo Electron pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tokyo Electron pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tokyo Electron Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tokyo Electron's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tokyo Electron pink sheet have on its future price. Tokyo Electron autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tokyo Electron autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tokyo Electron pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tokyo Electron.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When running Tokyo Electron's price analysis, check to measure Tokyo Electron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokyo Electron is operating at the current time. Most of Tokyo Electron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokyo Electron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokyo Electron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokyo Electron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Tokyo Electron technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Tokyo Electron technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Tokyo Electron trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...