Tal Education Group Stock Market Value
| TAL Stock | USD 11.65 0.03 0.26% |
| Symbol | TAL |
TAL Education Group Price To Book Ratio
Is TAL Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TAL Education. If investors know TAL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TAL Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share (0.11) | Revenue Per Share 2.152 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.605 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of TAL Education Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TAL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TAL Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TAL Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TAL Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TAL Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TAL Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TAL Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TAL Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
TAL Education 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TAL Education's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TAL Education.
| 03/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TAL Education on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TAL Education Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in TAL Education over 30 days. TAL Education is related to or competes with Gaotu Techedu, 17 Education, Chegg, Youdao, Strategic Education, Vasta PlatformLtd, and 2U. TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the Peoples Republic of China More
TAL Education Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TAL Education's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TAL Education Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.04 |
TAL Education Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TAL Education's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TAL Education's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TAL Education historical prices to predict the future TAL Education's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0169 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0442 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TAL Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TAL Education Group Backtested Returns
TAL Education appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. TAL Education Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0563, which indicates the company had a 0.0563% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for TAL Education Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please review TAL Education's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0542, risk adjusted performance of 0.0169, and Downside Deviation of 3.75 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, TAL Education holds a performance score of 4. The firm has a beta of 0.96, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. TAL Education returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TAL Education is expected to follow. Please check TAL Education's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether TAL Education's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.79 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
TAL Education Group has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TAL Education time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TAL Education Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current TAL Education price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.11 |
TAL Education Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is TAL Education stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TAL Education's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TAL Education returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TAL Education has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
TAL Education regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TAL Education stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TAL Education stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TAL Education stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
TAL Education Lagged Returns
When evaluating TAL Education's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TAL Education stock have on its future price. TAL Education autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TAL Education autocorrelation shows the relationship between TAL Education stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TAL Education Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
TAL Education Investors Sentiment
The influence of TAL Education's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in TAL. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to TAL Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TAL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TAL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TAL Education Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
TAL Education's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for TAL Education's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average TAL Education's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on TAL Education.
TAL Education Implied Volatility | 132.23 |
TAL Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TAL Education Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TAL Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TAL Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when TAL Education's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards TAL Education in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, TAL Education's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from TAL Education options trading.
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When determining whether TAL Education Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze TAL Education's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TAL Education's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TAL Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out TAL Education Correlation, TAL Education Volatility and TAL Education Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TAL Education. Note that the TAL Education Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TAL Education's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Complementary Tools for TAL Stock analysis
When running TAL Education's price analysis, check to measure TAL Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAL Education is operating at the current time. Most of TAL Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAL Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAL Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAL Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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TAL Education technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.