American Beacon Shapiro Fund Market Value

SHXIX Fund  USD 14.64  0.28  1.95%   
American Beacon's market value is the price at which a share of American Beacon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Beacon Shapiro investors about its performance. American Beacon is trading at 14.64 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 1.95 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Beacon Shapiro and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Beacon over a given investment horizon. Check out American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Volatility and American Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Beacon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Beacon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Beacon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Beacon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Beacon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Beacon's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Beacon.
0.00
04/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Beacon on April 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Beacon Shapiro or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Beacon over 720 days. American Beacon is related to or competes with USCF Gold, Amer Beacon, Amer Beacon, American Beacon, American Beacon, American Beacon, and Amer Beacon. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets are invested in equity securities More

American Beacon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Beacon's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Beacon Shapiro upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Beacon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Beacon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Beacon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Beacon historical prices to predict the future American Beacon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Beacon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7814.6415.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5614.4215.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9114.7715.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2814.5514.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Beacon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Beacon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Beacon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Beacon Shapiro.

American Beacon Shapiro Backtested Returns

We consider American Beacon very steady. American Beacon Shapiro secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the fund had a 0.19% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for American Beacon Shapiro, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Beacon's mean deviation of 0.6467, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1064 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Beacon will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

American Beacon Shapiro has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Beacon time series from 8th of April 2022 to 3rd of April 2023 and 3rd of April 2023 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Beacon Shapiro price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current American Beacon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.59

American Beacon Shapiro lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Beacon mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Beacon's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Beacon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Beacon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

American Beacon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Beacon mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Beacon mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Beacon mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

American Beacon Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Beacon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Beacon mutual fund have on its future price. American Beacon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Beacon autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Beacon mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Beacon Shapiro.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Volatility and American Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Beacon.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running American Beacon's price analysis, check to measure American Beacon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Beacon is operating at the current time. Most of American Beacon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Beacon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Beacon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Beacon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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American Beacon technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of American Beacon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of American Beacon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...