Mazda Motor Stock Market Value

MZDAF Stock  USD 11.32  0.02  0.18%   
Mazda's market value is the price at which a share of Mazda trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mazda Motor investors about its performance. Mazda is trading at 11.32 as of the 5th of May 2024. This is a 0.18% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 11.32.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mazda Motor and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mazda over a given investment horizon. Check out Mazda Correlation, Mazda Volatility and Mazda Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mazda.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mazda's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mazda is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mazda's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mazda 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mazda's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mazda.
0.00
04/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
05/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mazda on April 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mazda Motor or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mazda over 30 days. Mazda is related to or competes with Toyota, Stellantis, GM, Honda, and Ford. Mazda Motor Corporation manufactures and sells passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Japan, the United States, North... More

Mazda Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mazda's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mazda Motor upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mazda Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mazda's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mazda's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mazda historical prices to predict the future Mazda's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mazda's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9011.3213.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.869.2811.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.6911.1013.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8011.4312.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mazda. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mazda's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mazda's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mazda Motor.

Mazda Motor Backtested Returns

Mazda Motor has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0476, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0476% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mazda exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mazda's Mean Deviation of 1.16, standard deviation of 2.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.83, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mazda are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mazda is likely to outperform the market. Mazda Motor has an expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to verify Mazda Motor treynor ratio, day median price, and the relationship between the information ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Mazda Motor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.25  

Weak reverse predictability

Mazda Motor has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mazda time series from 5th of April 2024 to 20th of April 2024 and 20th of April 2024 to 5th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mazda Motor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Mazda price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Mazda Motor lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mazda pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mazda's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mazda returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mazda has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mazda regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mazda pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mazda pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mazda pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mazda Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mazda's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mazda pink sheet have on its future price. Mazda autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mazda autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mazda pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mazda Motor.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Mazda Correlation, Mazda Volatility and Mazda Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mazda.
Note that the Mazda Motor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mazda's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

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When running Mazda's price analysis, check to measure Mazda's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mazda is operating at the current time. Most of Mazda's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mazda's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mazda's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mazda to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Mazda technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Mazda technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Mazda trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...