Hecla Mining Stock Market Value
| HL Stock | USD 4.91 0.17 3.59% |
| Symbol | Hecla |
Hecla Mining Price To Book Ratio
Is Hecla Mining's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hecla Mining. If investors know Hecla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hecla Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Dividend Share 0.025 | Earnings Share (0.14) | Revenue Per Share 1.189 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Hecla Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hecla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hecla Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hecla Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hecla Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hecla Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hecla Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hecla Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hecla Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hecla Mining 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hecla Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hecla Mining.
| 11/08/2023 |
| 05/06/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hecla Mining on November 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hecla Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hecla Mining over 180 days. Hecla Mining is related to or competes with SilverCrest Metals, Avino Silver, New Pacific, Gatos Silver, and Platinum Group. Hecla Mining Company, together with its subsidiaries, discovers, acquires, develops, and produces precious and base meta... More
Hecla Mining Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hecla Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hecla Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0915 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.71) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.15 |
Hecla Mining Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hecla Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hecla Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hecla Mining historical prices to predict the future Hecla Mining's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0805 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.184 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0059 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0941 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1336 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hecla Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hecla Mining Backtested Returns
Hecla Mining appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Hecla Mining holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Hecla Mining's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Hecla Mining's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0805, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1436, and Downside Deviation of 3.33 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Hecla Mining holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.87, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hecla Mining will likely underperform. Please check Hecla Mining's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Hecla Mining's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Hecla Mining has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hecla Mining time series from 8th of November 2023 to 6th of February 2024 and 6th of February 2024 to 6th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hecla Mining price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Hecla Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.52 |
Hecla Mining lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Hecla Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hecla Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hecla Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hecla Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Hecla Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hecla Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hecla Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hecla Mining stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Hecla Mining Lagged Returns
When evaluating Hecla Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hecla Mining stock have on its future price. Hecla Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hecla Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hecla Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hecla Mining.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Hecla Mining Investors Sentiment
The influence of Hecla Mining's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Hecla. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Hecla Mining's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hecla. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hecla can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hecla Mining. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Hecla Mining's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Hecla Mining's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Hecla Mining's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Hecla Mining.
Hecla Mining Implied Volatility | 68.11 |
Hecla Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hecla Mining stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hecla Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hecla Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hecla Mining's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hecla Mining in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hecla Mining's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hecla Mining options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Hecla Mining Correlation, Hecla Mining Volatility and Hecla Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hecla Mining. For more information on how to buy Hecla Stock please use our How to buy in Hecla Stock guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Hecla Stock analysis
When running Hecla Mining's price analysis, check to measure Hecla Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hecla Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Hecla Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hecla Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hecla Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hecla Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Hecla Mining technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.